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Aug 4, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

93%
91%
2
icon for Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?

96%
89%
3
icon for CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

99%
84%
4
icon for Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch

Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch

93%
55%
5
icon for Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

17%
44%
6
icon for Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

84%
38%
7
icon for Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?

Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?

86%
29%
8
icon for Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

62%
27%
9
icon for Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?

Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?

32%
26%
10
icon for Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?

Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?

64%
21%
11
icon for Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

5%
18%
12
icon for Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?

Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?

97%
18%
13
icon for Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?

41%
17%
14
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

61%
17%
15
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?

78%
15%
16
icon for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

67%
15%
17
icon for Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

79%
14%
18
icon for Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

41%
14%
19
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

52%
13%
20
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?

21%
12%
21
icon for Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

20%
12%
22
icon for US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

56%
11%
23
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

53%
11%
24
icon for Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?

Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?

84%
11%
25
icon for Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?

14%
11%