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Rising Tide

Rising Tide

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Taking Jaggedness Seriously
Why we should expect AI capabilities to keep being extremely uneven, and why that matters
 • Helen Toner
Personalized AI is rerunning the worst part of social media's playbook
The incentives, risks, and complications of AI that knows you
 • Miranda Bogen
Unresolved debates about the future of AI
How far the current paradigm can go, AI improving AI, and whether thinking of AI as a tool will keep making sense
 • Helen Toner
Building supercomputers for autocrats probably isn’t good for democracy, actually
The shameless spin around Stargate UAE
 • Helen Toner
In search of a dynamist vision for safe superhuman AI
Embracing creativity, risk-taking, and competition while staying clear-eyed about risks
 • Helen Toner
2 big questions for AI progress in 2025-2026
On how good AI might—or might not—get at tasks beyond math & coding
 • Helen Toner
Nonproliferation is the wrong approach to AI misuse
Making the most of “adaptation buffers” is a more realistic and less authoritarian strategy
 • Helen Toner
Rising Tide
Rising Tide
Intermittent thoughts on navigating the transition to a world with extremely advanced AI systems
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