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A Pincer Grip
The following remarks were prepared for delivery to the board of the Teagle Foundation a couple of weeks ago.
Jun 3
•
Rajiv Sethi
16
5
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A Conversation with Matt Jackson
Back in February of this year I had the opportunity to speak with Matt Jackson for the Human Centered podcast. This is the official podcast of the…
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Information Contagion
At around 6:50am ET on March 24, there was an unusually large spike in trading volume in oil and stock futures markets.
Mar 31
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Rajiv Sethi
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Trading on Violence
Insider trading on prediction markets is turning into a dog-bites-man type of story.
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Claude (Anthropic) on the Tariff Case
There’s so much information now available at our fingertips, and we face increasingly frequent and challenging decisions regarding the allocation of…
Feb 20
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The Second Coming
The price of a contract that pays a dollar if Jesus Christ returns this year is currently trading at about four cents on Polymarket, up from about two…
Feb 16
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Guessing Games
In my last post I discussed the case of a Polymarket trader who placed a series of well-timed bets on the ouster of Nicolás Maduro and made a profit of…
Jan 18
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The Venezuela Windfall
Major economic, political, and military decisions move asset prices, and those with foreknowledge of such things can make significant trading profits.
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