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The AI Revolution and Global Order
What strategy should the United States pursue in the age of AI?
Jun 11
Strategic Responses to a Cyber Emergency
2026 may prove a watershed year for AI-driven cyber risk.
May 21
How AI Can Erode Human Agency
A new framework for measuring when humans lose decisionmaking power.
Apr 23
Resilience as a Policy Approach for AI
Ideally, society will endure whatever is coming without great suffering or deterioration of core values—while still reaping the benefits of new…
Apr 3
Finding Common Ground in AGI Strategy Debates
A diagnosis and prescription for humanity’s most consequential strategic challenge.
Apr 2
Latest
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Internet Cutoffs and the Incentives in AI Incident Response
What a simple model reveals about the gap between having an off switch and using it.
Mar 26
What Lessons Does International Cooperation on Climate Change Have for Cooperation on AI?
Both climate change and AGI present a classic prisoner's dilemma, where the costs of cooperation fall on individual nations while benefits are shared…
Mar 12
Seeking Stability in the Age of AGI
How to maintain adequate stability through the transition to artificial general intelligence is among the defining issues of our time.
Mar 10
Insights from Tsunami: What an AGI Game Revealed About State-State Relationships and Geopolitics
Tsunami is a tabletop game designed to explore how the development and deployment of AGI might reshape relationships between nations.
Mar 5
Decisive Economic Advantage
Why do technological leads usually dissipate and what would have to be true for AGI to break this pattern?
Feb 26
Navigating the AGI Transition: Why America Needs a “Rideout” Strategy
What if the race for AGI itself leads to catastrophic conflict before anyone crosses the finish line?
Feb 13
Promoting Stability on the Path to Superintelligence
Mutual restraint and resilience could be an alternative to threats of preventative war.
Feb 12
Mutual Vulnerability in Human-AI Futures
What ecology, geopolitics, and technological history teach us about preserving human agency in an AI-transformed world.
Jan 8
AI-Induced Psychosis and the Risks of Belief Amplification
How large language models interact with human vulnerability—and why it matters for national security and AGI
Dec 18, 2025
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Geopolitics of AGI
Exploring the strategic implications of artificial general intelligence (AGI).
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Geopolitics of AGI
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