Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will George Pickens play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?3.0% 39.6%+36.5
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?68.5% 38.5%-30.0
- Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?3.3% 31.4%+28.0
- Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?14.0% 38.5%+24.5
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?54.5% 31.0%-23.5
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202818.1%$1.3BRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$686.5MPresidential Election Winner 202821.4%$680.0MF1 Drivers' Champion74.0%$200.8MNetanyahu out by...?46.5%$124.0MBrazil Presidential Election63.5%$121.3MNext French Presidential Election30.3%$118.4MVenezuela leader end of 2026?81.9%$95.3MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?10.0%$70.2MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9%$65.0MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5.5%$64.3MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16.5%$57.8MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?52.5%$51.8MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?85.8%$47.7MPro Football: 2027 Champion14.5%$43.3MCalifornia Governor Election Winner94.0%$40.6MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.9%$39.6MMLB World Series Champion 202639.5%$38.7MIran leader end of 2026?80.2%$38.3MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3.5%$35.2MWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?51.5%$31.5MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?8.5%$30.9MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?7.5%$29.1MF1 Constructors' Champion84.5%$28.3MBallon d'Or Winner 202658.9%$27.8MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.6%$27.1MIsrael closes its airspace by...?10.5%$26.7MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%$24.5MNobel Peace Prize Winner 20268.5%$23.3MIran leadership change by...?30.5%$23.2MIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?45.5%$23.0MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?5.5%$21.8MFed Decision in September?62.5%$20.7MPutin out as President of Russia by...?12.5%$20.0MMLS Cup Winner 202628.5%$19.6MWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?31.5%$18.1MWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?67.5%$17.8MIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?9.5%$17.7MHantavirus pandemic in 2026?3.8%$17.7MHighest grossing movie in 2026?91.5%$16.8M