﻿<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Comments on Ukraine, Russia, and Europe]]></title><description><![CDATA[Briefs, interviews, and papers on politics.]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CAmv!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fandreasumland.substack.com%2Fimg%2Fsubstack.png</url><title>Comments on Ukraine, Russia, and Europe</title><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 04:03:16 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://andreasumland.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[andreasumland@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[andreasumland@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[andreasumland@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[andreasumland@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[On the Exceptionally High Circulation of "The Russia-Ukraine War and its Origins"]]></title><description><![CDATA[An invitation to co-sign a collective statement by researchers of Eastern Europe]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-the-exceptionally-high-circulation</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-the-exceptionally-high-circulation</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 30 May 2026 08:42:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l-84!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F408f8e11-e067-4563-b894-7360e77931cc_1920x1080.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Dear colleague in the field of East European studies, </p><p>is there any chance you can also sign this statement? <a href="https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2026/04/28/8032087/">https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2026/04/28/8032087/</a> <br><br>Your signature &#8211; following the structure of the previous signatures (degree and where obtained, position with discipline, main institution) &#8211; should be sent until 30 June 2026 to signaturescollection71@gmail.com . <br><br>Below is, for your interest, the list of additional signatures as of 15 June 2026:</p><p style="text-align: justify;">&#321;ukasz Adamski, Ph. D. (PAS Warsaw), Director of the Juliusz Mieroszewski Dialogue Centre, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Eduard Afonin, Dr. Sc. (Karazin Kharkiv), Professor of Public Policy and Research Methodology, Dnipro Institute of Medicine and Public Health, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ana Maria Albulescu, Ph. D. (KCL London), Research Fellow in Peace and Conflict Studies, Tartu University, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Leila Alieva, Cand. Sc. (MSU Moscow), Associate in Russian and East European Studies, University of Oxford, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Gregory Allar, Ph. D. (U Michigan), Special Lecturer in Russian and East European Studies, Oakland University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vera Ammer, Dr. Phil. (M&#252;nster), Coordinator of Human Rights Projects on Ukraine, Memorial Deutschland, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Veronica Anghel, Ph. D. (Bucharest), Assistant Professor of European Studies, European University Institute, Italy</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Myroslava Antonovych, Dr. Sc. (NaUKMA), Head of the Center for Genocide and Human Rights Studies, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Antoine Arjakovsky, Ph. D. (EHESS), Director of Research on Politics and Religions, Coll&#232;ge des Bernardins, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Viacheslav Artiukh, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Associate Professor of Philosophy, Oleksandr Dovzhenko National Pedagogical University of Hlukhiv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vincent Artman, Ph. D. (Kansas), Senior Research Fellow in Human Geography, University of Ostrava, Czechia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Timothy Ash, M. A. (Econ) (Manchester), Associate Fellow of the Russia and Eurasia Program, Chatham House, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ryhor Astapenia, Ph. D. (U Warsaw), Director of the Belarus Initiative, Chatham House, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Martin Aust, Dr. Habil. (CAU Kiel), Professor of East European History, University of Bonn, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Peter Bakumov, Ph. D. (Constructor U), Senior Lecturer in Russian Studies, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Andris Banka, Ph. D.&#8239; (Birmingham), Senior Fellow in the Study of the Baltic Sea Region, University of Greifswald, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olexia Basarab, M. A. (NaUKMA), Former Eisenhower Fellow and Chair of the Ukrainian House in &#381;ilina, Slovak Republic</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Dimitar Bechev, D. Phil. (Oxford), Dahrendorf Program Director at the European Studies Centre, St. Antony&#8217;s College Oxford, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Marc P. Berenson, Ph. D. (Princeton), Associate Professor of War Studies, King&#8217;s College London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Una Bergmane, Ph. D.&#8239; (Sciences Po), Research Fellow in History, University of Helsinki, Finland&#8239;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mykola Bielieskov, M. A. (KNU Kyiv), Research Fellow in Defence Policy, National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Laada Bilaniuk, Ph. D. (Michigan), Professor of Anthropology, University of Washington, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Serhiy Bilenky, Ph. D. (Toronto), Research Associate at the Canadian Institute of Ukrainian Studies, University of Alberta, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ionut Biliuta, Ph. D. (CEU Budapest), Senior Fellow in Religious Studies, George Emil Palade University of Medicine, Pharmacy, Science, and Technology, Romania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Joris Van Bladel, Ph. D. (Groningen), Senior Associate Fellow in Russian Politics, Egmont Institute, Belgium</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stephen J. Blank, Ph. D. (Chicago), Senior Fellow in Russian Studies and International Security, Foreign Policy Research Institute, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Christoph Bluth, Ph. D. (KCL London), Professor of International Relations and Security, University of Bradford, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Bogomolov, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Director of the National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ian Bond, M. A. (Oxford), Deputy Director of The Centre for European Reform, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Eliot Borenstein, Ph. D. (Wisconsin), Professor of Russian and Slavic Studies, New York University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tetiana Boriak, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Research Fellow in Modern Ukrainian History, Vilnius University, Lithuania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kees Boterbloem, Ph. D. (McGill), Professor of History, University of South Florida, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bill Bowring, B. A. (Kent), Emeritus Professor of Law at Birkbeck, University of London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Andr&#225;s Boz&#243;ki, Ph. D. (MTA Budapest), Professor of Political Science, Central European University, Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stefano Braghiroli, Ph. D. (Siena), Associate Professor of European Studies, University of Tartu, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Thomas Bremer, Dr. Theol. (M&#252;nster), Emeritus Professor of Eastern Churches Studies, University of M&#252;nster, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Angela Brintlinger, Ph. D. (Wisconsin), Professor of Russian and East European Literatures and Cultures, Ohio State University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Yitzhak Brudny, Ph. D. (Princeton), Professor of Political Science and History, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Karsten Br&#252;ggemann, Dr. Habil. (Tallinn), Professor of Political and Social History, University of Tallinn, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olga Brusylovska, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Professor of International Relations, Mechnikov National University of Odesa, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandra Buzko, M. A. (NaUKMA), Head of the Scientific Archive, Institute of Archaeology, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Cristian Cantir, Ph. D. (Kansas), Associate Professor of Political Science, Oakland University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michael R. Carpenter, Ph. D. (UC Berkeley), 2021-2024 US Representative to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Denis Cenusa, Dr. Des. (Giessen), Associate Expert on Russia and the Eastern Partnership Region, Geopolitics and Security Studies Centre, Lithuania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Eric Chenoweth, B. A. (Columbia), Director of the Institute for Democracy in Eastern Europe, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Julia Chenusha, LL. M. (KyIU Kyiv), Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of the Non-Profit LLC DUWir, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Chernyakhivska, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Leading Research Fellow in the History of Monuments, National Preserve &#8220;Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra,&#8221; Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Andrew Chakhoyan, M. P. A. (Harvard), Academic Director of the Summer Program on Multilateral Diplomacy, University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Edward Hunter Christie, Ph. D. (VU Brussels), Visiting Professor of Defence Economics, College of Europe at Natolin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Leonid Chupriy, Dr. Sc. (NISS Kyiv), Professor of Political Science and Sociology, Borys Grinchenko Kyiv Metropolitan University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Nancy Condee, Ph. D. (Yale), Professor and Director of the Center for Russian, East European, and Eurasian Studies, University of Pittsburgh, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">John Connelly, Ph. D. (Harvard), Professor of European History, University of California at Berkeley, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Halyna Coynash, B. A. Hons (Victoria U), Analyst of Political and Legal Affairs, Kharkiv Human Rights Protection Group, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Patrice M. Dabrowski, Ph. D. (Harvard), Associate of the Ukrainian Research Institute, Harvard University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">David Darchiashvili, Dr. Sc. (Tbilisi), Professor of Political Science, International Relations and Security Studies, Ilia State University, Georgia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Denizcan Dede, M. A. (Ba&#351;kent), Doctoral Researcher in Islamic and Middle Eastern Studies, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Laure Delcour, H. D. R. (Sciences Po), Associate Professor of Political Science, University Sorbonne Nouvelle, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ihor Dlaboha, M. A. (The New School), Editor in Chief of <em>The Ukrainian Quarterly,</em> Ukrainian Congress Committee of America<em>,</em> United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Andrij Dobriansky, B. A. (Vassar), Policy Expert on Geopolitics and Media Analysis, Center for U.S.-Ukrainian Relations, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Yuliia Dukach, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Lecturer in Data Analysis and Visualization, Kyiv School of Economics, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stephen Scott Douglas, M. B. A. (Oxford), Creator of the disinformation detection tool Disinfolklore.eu, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mykola Doroshko,&#8239;Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv),&#8239;Professor&#8239;of Ukrainian History, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexander Dubowy, Dr. Iur. (Vienna), Policy Analyst of Eastern Europe and the CIS, Society for Eurasian Studies (EURAS), Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Diana Dukhanova, Ph. D. (Brown), Visiting Assistant Professor of Russian Studies, College of the Holy Cross, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexander Ebner, Dr. Habil. (Frankfurt am Main), Professor of Political Economy and Economic Sociology, University of Frankfurt, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Joakim Ekman, Ph. D. (&#214;rebro), Professor of Political Science, S&#246;dert&#246;rn University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michel Eltchaninoff, Ph. D. (ENS Fontenay), Editor-in-Chief of the <em>Philosophie Magazine</em>, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Nino Evgenidze, Dr. Sc. (Tbilisi State), Executive Director of the Economic Policy Research Center (EPRC), Georgia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vladyslav Faraponov, M. A. (KSE Kyiv), President of the Institute of American Studies, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mark Feygin, M. A. (RANEPA Moscow), Member of the Platform for Dialogue with Russian Democratic Forces, Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mikhail Filippov, Ph. D. (CalTech), Professor of Political Science, Binghamton University (SUNY), United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Geir Flikke, Dr. Art. (Oslo), Professor of Russian and Area Studies, University of Oslo, Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Joanna Fomina, Dr. Hab. (PAS Warsaw), Professor and Head of the European Studies Unit, Institute of Philosophy and Sociology, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Sibelan Forrester, Ph. D. (Indiana Bloomington), Professor of Modern and Classical Languages and Russian, Swarthmore College, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Julia Friedrich, M. Sc. (LSE), Research Fellow in Peace and Security, Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bartlomiej Gajos, Ph. D. (PAS Warsaw), Senior Research Fellow in History, Juliusz Mieroszewski Dialogue Center, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tamar Gamkrelidze, Ph. D. (Ilia State), Postdoctoral Fellow at the European Neighborhood Chair, College of Europe in Natolin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Theodore P. Gerber, Ph. D. (UC Berkeley), Professor of Sociology, University of Wisconsin at Madison, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Angelos Giannakopoulos, Dr. Habil. (Dortmund), Professor of European Studies, Tel Aviv University, Israel</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ariana Gic, J. D. (York), Director of the Direct Initiative International Center for Ukraine, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">George Gilbert, Ph. D. (East Anglia), Associate Professor of Modern Russian History, University of Southampton, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Keir Giles, B. A. (UCL), Research Associate on Russia and Europe, Conflict Studies Research Centre, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Paul A. Goble, M. A. (Chicago), Retired US Government Official and Author of the Blog <em>Window on Eurasia</em>, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Thornike Gordadze, Ph. D. (Sciences Po), Lecturer in the EU&#8217;s Eastern Neighborhood, Paris Institute of Political Studies, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kate Graney, Ph. D. (U Wisconsin), Professor of Political Science, Skidmore College, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tetiana Grebeniuk, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Visiting Professor of Ukrainian Studies, University of Warsaw, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Gustav Gressel, Ph. D. (ZMNE Budapest), Senior Lecturer in Security and Crisis Management, College of Europe at Natolin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Igor Gretskiy, Cand. Sc. (St. Petersburg), Research Fellow in Foreign Policy, International Centre for Defence and Security, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Theocharis N. Grigoriadis, Ph. D. (UC Berkeley), Professor of Economics and East European Studies, Free University of Berlin, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Viktoriia Grivina, Ph. D. (St Andrews), Independent Researcher in Social Anthropology at Kharkiv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jaros&#322;aw Gryz, Ph. D. (U Warsaw), Professor of International Security, War Studies University (ASzWoj), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Seva Gunitsky, Ph. D. (Columbia), Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Toronto, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Pavlo Hai-Nyzhnyk, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Leading Research Fellow in Political Culture and Ideology, Institute of Political and Ethno-National Studies, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stephen G. F. Hall, Ph. D. (UCL), Assistant Professor of Russian and Post-Soviet Politics, University of Bath, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Halushka, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Visiting Professor of International Partnerships and Cooperation, Ukrainian Catholic University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Arve Hansen, Ph. D. (Troms&#248;), Senior Adviser on Ukraine, The Norwegian Helsinki Committee, Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Guido Hausmann, Dr. Habil. (Bielefeld), Professor of East and Southeast European History, University of Regensburg, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Daniel Heged&#252;s, M. A. (ELTE Budapest), Deputy Director of the Institute for European Politics (IEP), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tereza Hendl, Ph. D. (Macquarie), Research Fellow in Philosophy, University of Augsburg, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jonathan Hibberd,&#8239;M. A. (Sussex),&#8239;Doctoral Researcher in International Relations, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Aleksandra Hnatiuk, Dr. Hab. (Warsaw), Professor of History, National University of Kyiv- Mohyla Academy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mykola Horbatiuk, Cand. Sc. (KNLU Kyiv), Senior Research Fellow in the Theory and History of Political Science, Institute of Political and Ethnic Studies, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Roman Horbyk, Ph. D. (S&#246;dert&#246;rn), Lecturer in Media Studies and Director of the War Digital Sources Lab, University of Zurich, Switzerland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mieste Hotopp-Riecke, Dr. Phil. (FU Berlin), Co-Director of the Institute for Caucasica-, Tatarica- and Turkestan-Studies (ICATAT), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Liliia Hudziuk, M. A. (NaUKMA), Research Fellow in Russia Studies, The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies, The Netherlands</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kateryna Ivashchenko-Stadnik, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Senior Research Fellow in Social Research Methods, Institute of Sociology, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Dmytro Ishchenko, Ph. D. (NaUKMA), Military Officer, Director of the Kyiv School of Diplomatic Arts, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Polina Istomina, M. B. A. (INSEAD), Associate Fellow in UK-Ukraine Institutional Cooperation, Sahaidachnyi Security Center, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandra Iwaniuk, Ph. D. (UMCS Lublin), Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Warsaw, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Idil P. Izmirli, Ph. D. (George Mason), Analyst of Crimean Affairs, The Jamestown Foundation, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ralph Janik, Dr. Iur. (Vienna), Assistant Professor of International Law, Sigmund Freud Private University, Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Lukasz Jasina, Ph. D. (PAS Warsaw), Assistant Professor of History, Varsovia University of Business and Applied Sciences, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Wojciech Jak&#243;bik, M. A. (JU Krakow), Founder and Director of the Energy Security Center (OBE), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Hubertus Jahn, Dr. Habil. (Erlangen-Nuremberg), Emeritus Professor of the History of Russia and the Caucasus, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kerstin S. Jobst, Dr. Habil. (Hamburg), Professor of East European Societies and Memory Cultures, University of Vienna, Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Pierre Jolicoeur, Ph. D. (UQAM Montr&#233;al), Professor of Political Science, Royal Military College of Canada, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kornely Kakachia, Dr. Sc. (Tbilisi State), Professor of Political Science, Ivane Javakhishvili State University of Tbilisi, Georgia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksiy Kandyuk, Cand. Sc. (Chernivtsi), Research Fellow in Political Science, University of Konstanz, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Andres Kasekamp, Ph. D. (London), Professor of History and Estonian Studies, University of Toronto, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Botakoz Kassymbekova, Dr. Phil. (HU Berlin), Assistant Professor of East European History, University of Zurich, Switzerland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Christian Kaunert, Ph. D. (Aberystwyth), Professor of International Security, Dublin City University, Ireland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Yuliya Kazdobina, M. A. (Rochester), Senior Fellow of the Security Studies Program, Foreign Policy Council &#8220;Ukrainian Prism,&#8221; Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michael D. Kennedy, Ph. D. (UNC Chapel Hill), Professor of Sociology and International and Public Affairs, Brown University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Natalia Khanenko-Friesen, Ph. D. (Alberta), Director of the Canadian Institute of Ukrainian Studies, University of Alberta, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Dina Khapaeva, Cand. Sc. (St. Petersburg), Professor of Russian Cultural and Intellectual History, Georgia Institute of Technology, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Khara, M. A. (DAU Kyiv), Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for Defence Strategies (TsOS), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Marianna Klochko, Ph. D. (Cornell), Associate Professor of Sociology, The Ohio State University at Marion, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ivan U. K&#322;yszcz,&#8239;Ph. D. (Tartu), Research Fellow in Foreign Policy, International Centre for Defence and Security, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Katja Kolcio, Ph. D. (Ohio State), Associate Professor of Dance and Environmental Studies, Wesleyan University, United State</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksii Kolesnykov, Cand. Sc. (Chernivtsi), Research Fellow in Political Science, University of Tartu, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Joanna Konieczna-Sa&#322;amatin, Dr. Hab. (U Warsaw), Associate Professor of Sociology, University of Warsaw, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Roman Koropeckyj, Ph. D. (Harvard), Professor of Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Languages &amp; Cultures, University of California at Los Angeles, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ox&#225;na Kov&#225;cs, Cand. Sc. (RAS Moscow), Assistant Professor of Ukrainian Studies, E&#246;tv&#246;s Lor&#225;nd University of Budapest, Hungary</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Nataliia Kovalisko, Dr. Sc. (Karazin Kharkiv), Professor of Sociology, Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandra Kovalyova, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Lecturer in International Relations, New England College, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Volodymyr Kovtunets, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Leading Research Fellow in Higher Education, National Academy of Pedagogical Sciences, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ilko-Sascha Kowalczuk,&#8239;Dr. Phil. (Potsdam),&#8239;Research Fellow in History, Federal Archive (BArch),&#8239;Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Iryna Kresina, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Leading Research Fellow in Legal Issues of Political Science, Koretsky Institute of State and Law (IDPNAN), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mikhail Krutikhin, Cand. Sc. (RAS Moscow), Independent Researcher of Modern Iranian History, Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Kryzhanivska, Ph. D. (Gazi U), Post-Doctoral Fellow in Defence Innovation, Canadian Global Affairs Institute, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stefan Kube, Dipl. Theol. (M&#252;nster), Editor-in-Chief of the journal <em>Religion &amp; Society in East and West</em> (RGOW), Switzerland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Adam Kubiak, Ph. D. (JU Krakow), Senior Lecturer in Philosophy, University of Rzeszow, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jacek Kucharczyk, Ph. D. (PAS Warsaw), President and Senior Research Fellow, Institute of Public Affairs (ISP), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Natasha Kuhrt, Ph. D. (UCL), Senior Lecturer in International Peace and Security, King&#8217;s College London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Kulyk, Dr. Sc. (OHDNU Dnipro), Professor of Philosophy, Oles Honchar Dnipro National University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bohdana Kurylo, Ph. D. (UCL), Fellow in Qualitative Methodology and International Relations, London School of Economics, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Serhiy Kvit, Dr. Phil. (UFU Munich), Professor of Journalism and President, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Frederic Labarre, Ph. D. (RMC Kingston), Assistant Professor of War Studies, Canadian Forces College, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexander Lanoszka, Ph. D. (Princeton), Associate Professor of International Relations, University of Waterloo, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Lesyk-Laikari, Ph. D. (Helsinki), Associate Fellow in Sustainability Studies, University of Helsinki, Finland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Carl Larson, B. A. (Washington State), Co-Founder and President of the NGO European Action for Ukraine, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Martin Lary&#353;, Ph. D. (Prague), Assistant Professor of Political Science, Charles University of Prague, Czech Republic</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olga Lautman, M. Sc. (Empire State SUNY), Non-Resident Senior Fellow in Russian Disinformation, Center for European Analysis (CEPA), United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bidzina Lebanidze, Dr. Phil. (FU Berlin), Research Fellow in Caucasus Studies, University of Jena, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Horia-Victor Lefter, M. A. (Bordeaux Montaigne), Doctoral Researcher of East European History, University of Bordeaux, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Anthony Levitas, B. A. (UC Berkeley), Senior Fellow at the Watson School for International and Public Affairs, Brown University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mark Lipovetsky, Dr. Sc. (Ural State), Professor of Slavic Languages, Columbia University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Anne Lounsbery, Ph. D. (Harvard), Professor of Russian Literature, New York University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Edward Lucas, B. Sc. (Econ) (LSE), Director of the Baltic International Security Centre, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">S&#322;awomir &#321;ukasiewicz, Dr. Hab. (PAS Warsaw), Associate Professor of European Studies, John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ingunn Lunde, Ph. D. (Bergen), Professor of Russian Studies, University of Bergen, Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Orysia Lutsevych, M. P. A. (Missouri), Head of the Ukraine Forum, Chatham House, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Lysenko, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Head of the Department of Military-Historical Research, Institute of the History of Ukraine, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michail Maiatsky, Ph. D. (Fribourg), Emeritus Senior Lecturer in Slavic Studies, University of Lausanne, Switzerland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Martin Malek, Dr. Phil. (Vienna), Independent Political Researcher of East European Affairs, Vienna</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Joanna Karolina Malinowska, Ph. D. (Pozna&#324;), Assistant Professor of Philosophy, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Julia Malitska, Ph. D. (Stockholm), Senior Research Fellow in History, S&#246;dert&#246;rn University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Anastasiia Marushevska, B. A. (KNEU Kyiv), Contributing Editor at the NGO Ukra&#1111;ner International, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Marusiak, Dr. Iur. (UFU Munich), Senior Fellow in Constitutional Law, Scientific Research Institute of State Building and Local Government, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Myroslav Marynovych, Dip. Ing. (LPI Lviv), President of the Institute of Religion and Society, Ukrainian Catholic University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olga Mashtaler, M. A. (NaUKMA), Doctoral Researcher in Political Science, Tampere University, Finland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vitalii Masnenko, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Professor of Ukrainian History, Bohdan Khmelnytsky National University of Cherkasy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandra Matviichuk, Dr. H. C. (UC Louvain), Chairwoman of the Center for Civil Liberties (2022 Nobel Peace Prize receiver), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jade McGlynn, D. Phil. (Oxford), Research Fellow in War Studies, King&#8217;s College London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Troy McGrath, Ph. D. (Columbia), Research Fellow at the Center for Holocaust and Genocide Education, Saint Elizabeth University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Lisa McIntosh Sundstrom, Ph. D. (Stanford), Professor of Political Science, University of British Columbia, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Athanasius D. McVay, H. E. D. (PUG Rome), Fellow in Ukrainian Studies, University of Toronto, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stefan Meister, Dr. Phil. (Jena), Head of the Center for Order and Governance in Eastern Europe, Russia and Central Asia, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stefan Melle, Dipl. Mus. (Vienna), Director of the Dialogue Office for Civil Society Cooperation, Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Inna Melnykovska, Dr. Phil. (FU Berlin), Fellow in Political Economy and EU Studies, European University Institute, Italy</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tornike Metreveli, Ph. D. (Bern), Associate Professor of European Studies, Lund University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Hans Petter Midttun, B. Sc. Mil. (RNoNA Bergen), Nonresident Fellow in Military Studies, Centre for Defense Strategies (TsOS), Ukraine/Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Marko Mihkelson, M. A. (Tartu), Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee, Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu), Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oksana Mikheieva, Dr. Sc. (DonNU Donetsk), Professor of Sociology, Kyiv School of Economics, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Lukas Milevski, Ph. D. (Reading), Assistant Professor in Strategic Studies, Leiden University, The Netherlands</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maksimas Milta, M. A. (Yale), Country Director for Ukraine, The Reckoning Project (TRP), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Johanna M&#246;hring, Ph. D. (Paris Panth&#233;on Assas), Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science, Grenoble Alpes University, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Gian Marco Mois&#233;, Ph. D. (Dublin City), Researcher of Political Governance, Lisbon Council of Economic Development, Belgium</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Margareta Mommsen, Dr. Habil. (Bochum), Emerita Professor of Political Science, University of Munich, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Chris Monday, Ph. D. (St. Petersburg), Associate Professor of International Studies, Dongseo University, Republic of Korea</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Movshuk, Ph. D. (Osaka), Professor of Economics and Business Administration, Toyama University, Japan</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Myroslava Mudrak, Ph. D. (Texas Austin), Emerita Professor of History of Art, The Ohio State University, United States&#8239;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Micha&#322; Murawski, Ph. D. (Cambridge), Associate Professor of Critical Area Studies, University College London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kari Aga Myklebost, Ph. D. (UiT), Professor of Russian History, University of Troms&#248;, Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bohdan Nahaylo, M. A. (Manitoba), Editor-in-Chief of the newspaper <em>Kyiv Post: Ukraine&#8217;s Global Voice</em>, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Eleonora Narvselius, Ph. D. (Link&#246;ping), Associate Professor of European Studies, Lund University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mykola Nazarov, Dr. Sc. (VNU Lutsk), Research Fellow in the Post-War Reconstruction of Ukraine, International Centre for Defense and Security, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Thomas Mark N&#233;meth, Dr. Habil. (Vienna), Professor of Eastern Christian Studies, University of Vienna, Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">James Nixey, M. Sc. (Bristol), Senior Research Fellow in International Relations, Conflict Studies Research Centre, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Adrien Nonjon, M. A. (Sorbonne), Lecturer in Political Science and International Institutions, Paris Catholic Institute (ICP), France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexandra Novitchkova, M. A. (NaUKMA), Doctoral Researcher in Communication and Culture, Toronto Metropolitan University, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jacob &#214;berg, Ph. D. (EUI Florence), Professor of European Union Law, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Phillips P. O&#8217;Brien, Ph. D. (Cambridge), Professor of Strategic Studies, University of St Andrews, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Svitlana Odynets, Cand. Sc. (NASU Lviv), Research Fellow in Migration Studies, Mid Sweden University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maximilian Ohle, Dr. Phil. (T&#252;bingen), Visiting Lecturer in International Relations, Catholic Institute of Vendee (ICES), France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Teemu Oivo, Ph. D. (UEF), Postdoctoral Researcher at the Karelian Institute, University of Eastern Finland, Finland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kseniya Oksamytna, Ph. D. (Geneva), Reader in International Politics at City St George&#8217;s, University of London, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maciej Olchawa, Ph. D. (JU Krakow), 2022-24 Kosciuszko Foundation Scholar in East European Politics, Loyola University Chicago, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Anatoly Oleksiyenko, Ph. D. (Toronto), Professor of International Higher Education, The Education University of Hong Kong, China&#8239;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Hanna Oliinyk, M. A. (UCL), Doctoral Researcher in Socio-Legal Studies, University of Oxford, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Marla Raucher Osborn, J. D. (UC San Francisco), Co-founder of the Rohatyn Jewish Heritage in Lviv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Donal O&#8217;Sullivan, Dr. Habil. (Eichstaett), Professor of East European and German History, California State University at Northridge, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Margus Ott, Ph. D. (Tartu), Associate Professor of Complex Systems and the Philosophy of Religion, University of Tartu, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maksym Palamarchuk, Cand. Sc. (NIISP Kyiv), Head of the Foreign Policy Studies Center and Deputy Director, National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Palko, Ph. D. (East Anglia), Professor of East European History, University of Basel, Switzerland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Panych, Cand. Sc. (DonNU Donetsk), Research Fellow at The Centre for Central and Eastern European Studies (ZMOE), Dresden University of Technology, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bo Petersson, Ph. D. (Lund), Professor of Global Political Studies, Malm&#246; University, Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Iaroslav Petik, M. A. (Tartu), Senior Research Fellow in History, Museum of Outstanding Figures in Ukrainian Culture, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ingo Petz, M. A. (Cologne), Head of the Belarus Project, Non-Profit LLC Dekoder, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Steven Pifer, B. A. (Stanford), Affiliate of the Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kevin M. F. Platt, Ph. D. (Stanford), Professor of Russian and East European Studies, University of Pennsylvania, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Taras Prodaniuk, M. Sc. (Oxford), Co-Founder and President of the Think-Tank ADASTRA, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksii Polegkyi, Ph. D. (Antwerp), Assistant Professor of Political Science, John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ruprecht Polenz, Second Legal State Exam (M&#252;nster), President of the German Association for East European Studies (DGO), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Leonid Polyakov, COL (Ret.), Head of the Security Studies Center and Deputy Director, National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mark Pomar, Ph. D. (Columbia), Senior Fellow at the Clements Center for National Security, University of Texas, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Peter Pomerantsev, Ph. D. (KCL London), Senior Fellow at the SNF Agora Institute, Johns Hopkins University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Liliana Popescu-Birlan, Ph. D. (Manchester), Professor of Political Science, National University of Political and Administrative Studies (SNSPA), Romania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Potiekhin, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Principal Research Fellow in International History, Institute of World History, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">David Powelstock, Ph. D. (UC Berkeley), Associate Professor of Russian and Comparative Literature, Brandeis University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexander Price, M. Phil. (Oxford), Doctoral Researcher in Law and Government, Dublin City University, Ireland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Nataliya Pryhornytska, M. A. (FU Berlin), Political Analyst and Co-Founder of the Alliance of Ukrainian Organizations, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Wojciech Przybylski, M. A. (U Warsaw), Editor-in-Chief of the <em>Visegrad Insight,</em> Res Publica Foundation, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maryna Rabinovych, Dr. Iur. (Hamburg), Assistant Professor of Public Policy and Governance, Kyiv School of Economics, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bogdan-George R&#259;dulescu, Ph. D. (BBU Cluj-Napoca), Researcher at the Institute of Political Science and International Relations, Romanian Academy, Romania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jon Richardson, M. B. A. (Brunel), Visiting Fellow at the Centre for European Studies,&#8239;Australian National University, Australia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Felix Riefer, Dr. Rer. Pol. (Cologne), Adjunct Professor of International Relations and East European Politics, University of Freiburg, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Neil Robinson, Ph. D. (Essex), Professor of Comparative Politics, University of Limerick, Ireland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Witold Rodkiewicz, Ph. D. (Harvard), Adjunct Professor at the Center for East European Studies (SEW), University of Warsaw, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Robert Romanchuk, Ph. D. (UCLA), Associate Professor of Slavic, Florida State University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maryna Romanets, Ph. D. (Saskatchewan), Professor of Contemporary Critical Theory and Literary Studies, University of Northern British Columbia, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Svitlana Romaniuk, Dr. Hab. (U Warsaw), Associate Professor of Ukrainian Studies, University of Warsaw, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kateryna Romanova, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Deputy Director General for Research, Museum of the Revolution of Dignity, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tom R&#248;seth, Ph. D. (Oslo), Associate Professor of Intelligence and Security Studies, Norwegian Defence University College (FHS), Norway</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Lada L. Roslycky, Ph. D. (Groningen), Managing Partner and Principal, Black Trident Security &amp; Intelligence Consulting Group, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maksym Rozumny, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Head of the Department of the Theory and History of Political Science, Institute of Political and Ethnic Studies, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Victor Rud, J. D. (Duke), Chairman of the Committee on Foreign Affairs, Ukrainian American Bar Association, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ionas Aurelian Rus, Ph. D. (Rutgers), Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Cincinnati, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stepan Rusyn, M. A. (KNU Kyiv),&#8239;Doctoral Researcher in International Relations, European University Viadrina Frankfurt-Oder, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Natalya Ryabinska, Ph. D. (PAS Warsaw), Associate Professor of Social Sciences, Civitas University, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Petro Rykhlo, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Professor of Foreign Literature and Literary Theory, Yuriy Fedkovych National University of Chernivtsi, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Aura Sabadus, Ph. D. (KCL London), Senior Fellow in Energy Security, Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Viktoriia Savchuk Kennet, Ph. D. (Maryland), Senior Lecturer in Communication, North Central College, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mykhailo Savva, Dr. Sc. (RANEPA Moscow), Member of the Expert Council of the Center for Civil Liberties (2022 Nobel Peace Prize receiver), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Karen Sch&#228;fer, Dr. Phil. (Potsdam), Associate Professor of Russian Foreign and Security Policies, Bundeswehr Command and Staff College (FueAkBw), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Sebastian Sch&#228;ffer, M. A. (LMU Munich), Director of the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM), Austria</p><p style="text-align: justify;">J&#246;rg Schulte, Dr. Habil. (Hamburg), Professor of Slavic Literature, University of Cologne, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Martin Schulze Wessel, Dr. Habil. (Halle-Wittenberg), Professor of East and Southeast European History, University of Munich, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Shepotylo, Ph. D. (Maryland), Associate Professor of Economics, Aston University, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">James Sherr, B. A. (Oberlin), Honorary Fellow in East European and Security Studies, International Centre for Defence and Security, Tallinn</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Oleksandr Shulga, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Director of The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bohdan Shumylovych, Ph. D. (EUI Florence), Associate Professor of Cultural Studies, Ukrainian Catholic University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Polina Sinovets, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Head of the Odesa Center for Nonproliferation, Mechnikov National University of Odesa, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maksym Skrypchenko, M. A. (KNU Kyiv), President of the Transatlantic Dialogue Center, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Hubert Smeets, M. Sc. (Amsterdam), Journalist and Co-Founder of the platform <em>RAAM on Russia, Ukraine and Belarus</em>, The Netherlands</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexandra Smith, Ph. D. (UCL), Reader in Russian Studies, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Susan Smith-Peter, Ph. D. (Illinois Urbana-Champaign), Professor of History, College of Staten Island of The City University of New York, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Eugeniusz Smolar, M. A. (Uppsala), Senior Fellow in European Security, Center for International Relations (CSM), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Snigyr, Cand. Sc. (NISS Kyiv), Jean Monnet Fellow in Political Science and International Relations, European University Institute, Italy</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michael Sohlman, B. A. (Uppsala), 2012-2019 Board Chairman of the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI), Sweden</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Roman Solchanyk, Ph. D. (U Michigan), Retired Senior Analyst of International Affairs, RAND Corporation, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ilona Sologoub, M. A. (KSE Kyiv), Scientific Editor at the Ukrainian think-tank <em>VoxUkraine</em>, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ursula Stark Urrestarazu, Dr. Phil. (Frankfurt-Main), International Politics Working Group Coordinator, Green Party, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bohdan Stasiuk, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Assistant Professor of Translation, Vynnychenko Central Ukrainian State University of Kropyvnytskyi, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ihor Stebelsky, Ph. D. (U Washington), Emeritus Professor of Political Science, University of Windsor, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Sergiy Stelmakh, Dr. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Senior Research Fellow in Central and East European Studies, Institute of World History, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Viktor Stepanenko, Ph. D. (Manchester), Professor of Sociology, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Tomasz St&#281;pniewski, Dr. Hab. (PAS Warsaw), Associate Professor of Political Science, The John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Dariusz Stola, Dr. Hab. (PAS Warsaw), Professor of History, Institute of Political Studies (ISP PAN), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Sergey Sukhankin, Ph. D. (Barcelona), Fellow on Russian Arctic Policies, North American and Arctic Defence and Security Network, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Sergej Sumlenny, LL. M. (FU Berlin), Founder and Managing Director of the European Resilience Initiative Center, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Damian Szacawa, Ph. D. (UMCS Lublin), Assistant Professor of Political Science, Maria Curie-Sk&#322;odowska University, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Makar Taran, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Associate Professor of History,&#8239;Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine&#8239;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Giorgi Tarkhan-Mouravi, Dip. Phys. (Tbilisi State), Former Director of the Institute for Policy Studies, Georgia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mark B. Tauger, Ph. D. (UCLA), Emeritus Associate Professor of History, West Virginia University, United States&#8239;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Leila Tavi, Ph. D. (Marconi U), Independent Scholar in the History of Central and Eastern Europe, Italy</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Michael Taylor, D. Phil. (Oxford), Retired Senior Analyst of South- and Central Eastern Europe, Oxford Analytica, United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Serhii Telizhenko, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Scientific Secretary, Institute of Archaeology, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stephan Theilig, Dr. Phil. (HU Berlin), Co-Director of the Institute for Caucasica-, Tatarica- and Turkestan-Studies (ICATAT), Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Lori Thorlakson, Ph. D. (LSE), Professor and Department Chair of Political Science, University of Alberta, Canada</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vladimir Tismaneanu, Ph. D. (U Bucharest), Professor of Politics, University of Maryland, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ihor Todorov, Dr. Sc. (DonNU Donetsk), Professor of International Relations, Uzhhorod National University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olga Tokariuk, M. A. (Bologna), Non-Resident Fellow of the Democracy Resilience Program, Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), United Kingdom</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Maria Tomak, M. J. (Loyola Chicago), Head of the Board at the Media Initiative for Human Rights (MIPL), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Olena Tregub, M. A. (Fletcher School), Secretary General of the Independent Anti-Corruption Commission (NAKO), Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Stefan Troebst, Dr. Habil. (FU Berlin), Emeritus Professor of East European History, University of Leipzig, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Benjamin Tromly, Ph. D. (Harvard), Distinguished Professor of History, University of Puget Sound, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Evhen Tsybulenko, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Senior Lecturer in International Law, Tallinn&#8239;University&#8239;of Technology, Estonia</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Taras Tsymbrivsky, Cand. Sc. (KNU Kyiv), Military Officer, former Associate Professor of Legal Theory and Human Rights, Ukrainian Catholic University, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Carol Ueland, Ph. D. (Columbia), Emerita Professor of Russian and Former Department Chair, Drew University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">S&#246;ren Urbansky, Dr. Phil. (Konstanz), Professor of Eastern European History, Ruhr University of Bochum, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Raphael Utz, Dr. Phil. (Heidelberg), Research Fellow in History, Hannah Arendt Institute for Totalitarianism Studies, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Milada Anna Vachudova, D. Phil. (Oxford), Professor of Political Science, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Laurynas Vai&#269;i&#363;nas, M. Res. (UCL), Chief Executive Officer of The Jan Nowak-Jeziora&#324;ski College of Eastern Europe (KEW), Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Volodymyr Vakhitov, Ph. D. (Kentucky), Director of the Institute for Behavioral Studies, American University Kyiv, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Raj Verma, Ph. D. (LSE), Visiting Fellow at the Sigur Center for Asian Studies, George Washington University, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Robert van Voren, Ph. D. (Kaunas), Professor of Soviet and Post-Soviet Studies, Vytautas Magnus University, Lithuania</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mark Voyger, M. P. A. (Harvard), President and Co-Founder of the Kyiv Institute for National and Global Security, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Mari&#235;lle Wijermars, Ph. D. (Groningen), Associate Professor of Internet Governance, Maastricht University, The Netherlands</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Kenneth Wilson, D. Phil. (Oxford), Associate Professor of Politics, Dongguk University, Republic of Korea</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexander W&#246;ll,&#8239;Dr. Habil. (LMU M&#252;nchen),&#8239;Professor of Central and Eastern European&#8239;Culture and Literature, University of Potsdam, Germany</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Elizabeth A. Wood, Ph. D. (U Michigan),&#8239;Professor of History, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, United States</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Ernest Wyciszkiewicz, Ph. D. (UMCS Lublin), Senior Fellow in Political Science, Juliusz Mieroszewski Centre for Dialogue, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Yuriy Yakymenko, Cand. Sc. (NISS Kyiv), President of the Razumkov Centre and Editor-in-Chief of its <em>National Security and Defence</em> Journal, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Vitalii Yaremchuk, Dr. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Professor of the History of Historiography, National University of Ostroh Academy, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Alexandra Yatsyk, Cand. Sc. (Kazan), Research Fellow in Memory Studies, University of Lille, France</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Marianna Yeleiko, Cand. Sc. (NASU Kyiv), Director of the Bohdan Hawrylyshyn Family Foundation, Ukraine</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Krzysztof M. Zalewski, Ph. D. (Warsaw), President of The Micha&#322; Boym Institute for Asian and Global Studies, Poland</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Jan Zielonka, Ph. D. (U Warsaw), Emeritus Professor of European Politics, University of Oxford, United Kingdom</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[US Techno-Authoritarian Interest in Ivan Katchanovski's Work on Ukraine]]></title><description><![CDATA[Three Links on Elon Musk, David Sacks and Curtis Yarvin]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/us-techno-authoritarian-interest</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/us-techno-authoritarian-interest</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2026 11:46:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH1s!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.substack.com%2Fmedia%2FGeGPJ4OXUAARFSz.jpg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is currently a discussion about the very high number of tweets and retweets on X as well of accesses to Springer Nature&#8217;s page on Ivan Katchanovski&#8217;s open-access book <em>The Russia-Ukraine War and its Origins</em>. See on this discussion, among others: </p><ul><li><p>On <em>Ukrainska Pravda</em>:</p><p>&#8220;<strong>An Elon Musk-supported apology for Russia&#8217;s war on Ukraine&#8221; at</strong> <a href="https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2026/04/28/8032087/">https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2026/04/28/8032087/</a> (without a paywall: <a href="https://www.rightsinrussia.org/public-statements/">https://www.rightsinrussia.org/public-statements/</a> ), </p></li><li><p>On <em>Substack</em>:</p></li></ul><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:195912344,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://davidrmarples.substack.com/p/the-scholars-attack-on-ivan-katchanovski&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:3627151,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;David R. Marples Substack&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cwKu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdaace171-0675-484b-8230-d215b61875bc_144x144.png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;The Scholars' Attack on Ivan Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;Ivan Katchanovski&#8217;s book The Russia-Ukraine War and Its Origins, published by Palgrave Macmillan, is causing quite a stir on social media. One hundred people have signed a &#8220;collective warning&#8221; to readers because of the exceptional number of downloads and its endorsement by Elon Musk and David Sacks. On April 28,&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2026-04-29T20:57:45.419Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:6,&quot;comment_count&quot;:5,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:305589144,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;David  R. Marples&quot;,&quot;handle&quot;:&quot;davidrmarples&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:null,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ddd98f74-6ceb-4b93-86d9-b5daf71148e0_1177x982.jpeg&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;David R. Marples is Distinguished Professor, University of Alberta, Canada. He holds a PhD from the University of Sheffield. He is author of seventeen single-authored books and six edited books on Belarus, Ukraine and Russia. &quot;,&quot;profile_set_up_at&quot;:&quot;2025-01-01T19:59:03.142Z&quot;,&quot;reader_installed_at&quot;:&quot;2025-01-02T21:29:04.184Z&quot;,&quot;publicationUsers&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:3697951,&quot;user_id&quot;:305589144,&quot;publication_id&quot;:3627151,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:true,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:3627151,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;David R. Marples Substack&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;davidrmarples&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;My personal Substack&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/daace171-0675-484b-8230-d215b61875bc_144x144.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:305589144,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:305589144,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-01-01T19:59:07.275Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:null,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;David  R. Marples&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/503d2521-ad45-4885-8edd-3cea7511d073_318x159.png&quot;}}],&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:null,&quot;status&quot;:{&quot;bestsellerTier&quot;:null,&quot;subscriberTier&quot;:null,&quot;leaderboard&quot;:null,&quot;vip&quot;:false,&quot;badge&quot;:null,&quot;paidPublicationIds&quot;:[],&quot;subscriber&quot;:null}}],&quot;utm_campaign&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:null}" data-component-name="EmbeddedPostToDOM"><a class="embedded-post" native="true" href="https://davidrmarples.substack.com/p/the-scholars-attack-on-ivan-katchanovski?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_campaign=post_embed&amp;utm_medium=web"><div class="embedded-post-header"><img class="embedded-post-publication-logo" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cwKu!,w_56,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdaace171-0675-484b-8230-d215b61875bc_144x144.png"><span class="embedded-post-publication-name">David R. Marples Substack</span></div><div class="embedded-post-title-wrapper"><div class="embedded-post-title">The Scholars' Attack on Ivan Katchanovski</div></div><div class="embedded-post-body">Ivan Katchanovski&#8217;s book The Russia-Ukraine War and Its Origins, published by Palgrave Macmillan, is causing quite a stir on social media. One hundred people have signed a &#8220;collective warning&#8221; to readers because of the exceptional number of downloads and its endorsement by Elon Musk and David Sacks. On April 28&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">2 months ago &#183; 6 likes &#183; 5 comments &#183; David  R. Marples</div></a></div><ul><li><p>On <em>Facebook:</em></p><p><a href="https://www.facebook.com/drmarples/posts/pfbid027BK9KHWbY4hHybaFL9FyoUXKr698dv1wRyYoitvVn6aSKywbxUGUZURtL9Ym2zrol">https://www.facebook.com/drmarples/posts/pfbid027BK9KHWbY4hHybaFL9FyoUXKr698dv1wRyYoitvVn6aSKywbxUGUZURtL9Ym2zrol</a></p><p><a href="https://www.facebook.com/john.vsetecka/posts/pfbid0FdZNCHR4REHZAn7UZrJXwC4ewpuZNSBYwijTMavfW4cqPjh7UgMY3TW4nWqyXdTDl">https://www.facebook.com/john.vsetecka/posts/pfbid0FdZNCHR4REHZAn7UZrJXwC4ewpuZNSBYwijTMavfW4cqPjh7UgMY3TW4nWqyXdTDl</a></p></li></ul><p>In connection with this debate, the neo-reactionary movement of techno-authoritarianism (also &#8220;technofascism,&#8221; &#8220;Dark Englightenment&#8221; etc.) is of relevance. See on this movement, for instance: </p><ul><li><p>&#8220;Anti-democratic &#8216;Dark Enlightenment&#8217; ideas have spread from Silicon Valley to Washington&#8221; at <a href="https://cascadeinstitute.org/dark-enlightenment/">https://cascadeinstitute.org/dark-enlightenment/</a></p></li><li><p>&#8220;The Rise of Techno-Authoritarianism and its Impact on US Foreign Policy&#8221; at <a href="https://zwischenraeume.co.at/wp-content/uploads/ZWISCHENRAEUME_POLICY-BRIEF_The-Rise-of-Techno-Authoritarianism-and-its-Impact-on-US-Foreign-Policy.pdf">https://zwischenraeume.co.at/wp-content/uploads/ZWISCHENRAEUME_POLICY-BRIEF_The-Rise-of-Techno-Authoritarianism-and-its-Impact-on-US-Foreign-Policy.pdf</a></p></li><li><p>&#8220;Fear of mimesis: Technofascism and intelligence in Silicon Valley&#8221; at <a href="https://summit.sfu.ca/item/39969">https://summit.sfu.ca/item/39969</a></p></li><li><p>&#8220;Worse than Fascism: Eight Points on Techno-Oligarchy&#8221; at </p><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:196406458,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://shekhovtsov.substack.com/p/worse-than-fascism&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:4010584,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Towers of Europa, by Anton Shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Worse than Fascism&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;In recent years, with the rise of Big Tech and its authoritarian socio-political ambitions, it has become commonplace to speak of &#8220;techno-fascism&#8221;. This is understandable. The embrace of authoritaria&#8230;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2026-05-04T11:42:59.550Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:58,&quot;comment_count&quot;:11,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:206355638,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Anton Shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;handle&quot;:&quot;shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:&quot;Towers of Europa&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/109f399a-b5bc-4ddc-93f0-d9eb84087632_1206x1206.png&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Exploring the dark corridors of politics, focusing on the Western far right, Russia&#8217;s war on Europe, and the vision of pan-Europa.&quot;,&quot;profile_set_up_at&quot;:&quot;2025-02-03T18:24:31.929Z&quot;,&quot;reader_installed_at&quot;:&quot;2025-02-03T18:24:18.812Z&quot;,&quot;publicationUsers&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:4089215,&quot;user_id&quot;:206355638,&quot;publication_id&quot;:4010584,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:true,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:4010584,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Towers of Europa, by Anton Shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:null,&quot;author_id&quot;:206355638,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:206355638,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-02-03T20:07:41.040Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Anton Shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Anton Shekhovtsov&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:&quot;Founding Member&quot;,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;enabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;magaziney&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}}],&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:null,&quot;status&quot;:{&quot;bestsellerTier&quot;:null,&quot;subscriberTier&quot;:null,&quot;leaderboard&quot;:null,&quot;vip&quot;:false,&quot;badge&quot;:null,&quot;paidPublicationIds&quot;:[],&quot;subscriber&quot;:null}}],&quot;utm_campaign&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:null}" data-component-name="EmbeddedPostToDOM"><a class="embedded-post" native="true" href="https://shekhovtsov.substack.com/p/worse-than-fascism?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_campaign=post_embed&amp;utm_medium=web"><div class="embedded-post-header"><span></span><span class="embedded-post-publication-name">Towers of Europa, by Anton Shekhovtsov</span></div><div class="embedded-post-title-wrapper"><div class="embedded-post-title">Worse than Fascism</div></div><div class="embedded-post-body">In recent years, with the rise of Big Tech and its authoritarian socio-political ambitions, it has become commonplace to speak of &#8220;techno-fascism&#8221;. This is understandable. The embrace of authoritaria&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">a month ago &#183; 58 likes &#183; 11 comments &#183; Anton Shekhovtsov</div></a></div></li></ul><p>One can document so far the interest or/and support of three prominent American representatives of techno-authoritarianism - Elon Musk, David Sacks, and Curtis Yarvin (Mencius Moldbug) - for the work of Ivan Katchanovski.</p><ol><li><p>As already documented on <em>Ukrainska Pravda</em>, Katchanovski has himself on X pointed out the support by Elon Musk and David Sacks for his book&#8217;s open-access publication:</p></li></ol><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://x.com/I_Katchanovski/status/1864939510905094300&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;It's revealing that Routledge choose to censor my \&quot;From the Maidan to the Russia-Ukraine War\&quot; book, which is endorsed by 2 peer-reviewers &amp;amp; 4 leading American, British &amp;amp; Ukrainian experts &amp;amp; whose open-access crowdfunding supported Elon Musk, David Sacks, several leading American&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;I_Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Ivan Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/1273026097/Ivan_Katchanovski_normal.jpg&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2024-12-06T07:46:42.000Z&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/media/GeGPJ4OXUAARFSz.jpg&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/BcNwKh3KS4&quot;}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Orwellian: Routledge refuses to publish my open access book \&quot;From the Maidan to the Russia-Ukraine War\&quot; which is under contract. They express &#8220;concern&#8221; with my analysis of the West blocking the peace deal, @elonmusk involvement in promoting my GoFundMe https://t.co/tOto31EGOb&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;I_Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Ivan Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/1273026097/Ivan_Katchanovski_normal.jpg&quot;},&quot;reply_count&quot;:6,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:40,&quot;like_count&quot;:130,&quot;impression_count&quot;:6864,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p style="text-align: justify;"></p><ol start="2"><li><p style="text-align: justify;">As mentioned in Ukrainska Pravda, David Sacks has donated USD5000 to Katchanovski&#8217;s <em>GoFundMe</em> campaign for this book and has announced about his donation on X:</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1740639660374724786&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;I just made a large donation in the name of <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@RadioFreeTom</span>. Maybe he can learn something about the Ukraine War from a real expert.&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;DavidSacks&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;David Sacks&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/1879600809693917185/GkBxdTd9_normal.jpg&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2023-12-29T07:43:29.000Z&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;I am crowdfunding to publish my book, entitled &#8220;From the Maidan to the Russia-Ukraine War,&#8221; as open access book: https://t.co/CdIytfpKKX\nThis book is already accepted for publication by a major Western academic press following very positive peer reviews. It is scheduled for&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;I_Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Ivan Katchanovski&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/1273026097/Ivan_Katchanovski_normal.jpg&quot;},&quot;reply_count&quot;:225,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:74,&quot;like_count&quot;:971,&quot;impression_count&quot;:716405,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p></p></li><li><p>In reaction to the public discussion of the collective statement in <em>Ukrainska Pravda</em>, Curtis Yarvin has indicated some knowledge of and apparent support for Katchanovski&#8217;s work:</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://x.com/curtis_yarvin/status/2050020077789909426&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Hey guys, American here, I know nothing and can&#8217;t even read Cyrillic. I read your open letter and it had zero information&#8212;just a spittle-flecked, Soviet style denunciation.\n\nDoes anyone want to explain how and why Katchanovski is wrong about the snipers? Or just cosplay the 1930s&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;curtis_yarvin&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Curtis Yarvin&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/1922027407873343489/Oy7nAItC_normal.jpg&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2026-05-01T01:10:48.000Z&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;All the exact people you&#8217;d expect are coming out of the woodwork.\n\nTake note! https://t.co/TMt7ARoKqp&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;geogvma&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Vincent Artman&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/profile_images/2037099459654352896/CeuQQf7r_normal.jpg&quot;},&quot;reply_count&quot;:51,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:9,&quot;like_count&quot;:140,&quot;impression_count&quot;:37675,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div></li></ol><p>If you have more information on these or similar incidences, I shall be grateful for letting me know. Perhaps, some additional information about the known or anonymous co-funders of Katchanovski&#8217;s book can be found somehow. See: <a href="https://www.gofundme.com/f/openaccess-book-russiaukraine-war-its-origin?modal=donations&amp;tab=all">https://www.gofundme.com/f/openaccess-book-russiaukraine-war-its-origin?modal=donations&amp;tab=all</a></p><p></p><p>PS: <em>If you are in the field of East European studies and wish to sign the above-quoted collective statement, send your signature &#8211; following the statement&#8217;s signatures&#8217; structure (degree with institution at which obtained, position with discipline, main institution, country) &#8211; until 31 May 2026 to signaturescollection71@gmail.com.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Before you apply for (and after you got) an academic job]]></title><description><![CDATA[Some tricks to increase your publications' visibility in scholarly networks and databases]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/before-you-apply-for-and-after-you</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/before-you-apply-for-and-after-you</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 13:13:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png" width="1178" height="725" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:725,&quot;width&quot;:1178,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:68838,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/194685926?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TSt9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe30acc98-65d5-4e91-a85f-d4d3d921599c_1178x725.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A friend recently asked about how to become more present in scholarly networks, as he wants to get an academic job. Colleagues here may have their own advice on this, and I would be interested in that. Here is what I recommended to my friend, and would suggest to others with similar ambitions:</p><p>You may have already a page on, perhaps, the most popular scholarly network Academia.edu, but you should make sure that you have claimed or uploaded PDFs of all of your papers, pre-prints, magazine articles, books, etc. in your Academia.edu profile. Obviously, there may be copyright issues, but you can always create a PDF with as much information as is legal to publish and with a link to the original place of publication.</p><p>Then check with Scopus Elsevier whether you have already a profile there, and request an update of your Scopus profile with your current affiliation and possibly adding papers, chapters, funding, and pre-prints registered with Scopus, but not yet listed in your account: https://www.scopus.com/.</p><p>You should also create, if you have not already done so, a profile on GoogleScholar.com which probably lists lots of your publications. Unfortunately, GoogleScholar - like Academia.edu - stands a bit alone and is not linked to other networks, but it is a widely used resource.</p><p>Make, in all networks, sure that you find all of your publications there by using different ways to write your name in different languages, with different letters, and with different transliterations or transcriptions.</p><p>Most importantly: You should, if you have not done so already, create, fill in, and feed an ORCiD account: https://orcid.org/signin. ORCiD is, in my opinion, the by far most useful academic network with lots of unique functions and many connections to other networks.</p><p>There is a very useful function in ORCiD called &#8220;Import your works from other services.&#8221; Link your ORCiD account to your Scopus profile here: https://www.scopus.com/.  You should also look into other databases such as BASE, OpenAir, CrossRef, DataCite, and the GND Network, as they probably have lots of your publications. You can import from these databases your publications into ORCiD.</p><p>If you have published books, also search them on ORCiD via the function &#8220;Import your works from other services&#8221; in the German National Library DNB and import the books and other publications registered in the DNB into your ORCiD account. If you have a profile in the DNB database, a link should, like in the case of Scopus, show up in your ORCiD profile. </p><p>Create, via your ORCiD and LinkedIn accounts, a profile with THE LENS and import from there your papers listed in THE LENS into your ORCiD account: https://www.lens.org/lens/search/scholar/</p><p>Once all of that is done, you should create via ORCiD a profile in the Clarivate Web of Science https://www.webofscience.com/wos/author/, and export your ORCiD listed publications into the Web of Science as well as import from WoS your publications into your ORCiD account. The Web of Science has also an excellent system to give credit to your published book reviews in journals and unpublished peer-reviews for journals, and you can export these WoS records of your book- and peer-reviews into your ORCiD account.</p><p>You should also claim your profile on SemanticScholar here https://www.semanticscholar.org/author/ and SciProfiles here https://sciprofiles.com/profile/author/, and correct the lists of publications associated with your name there, i.e. delete those publications that are not yours and add those that are registered in these networks yet not listed in your personal profile. Link these accounts to your ORCiD account.</p><p>The links to your Web of Science and SciProfiles accounts should appear in your ORCiD profile.</p><p>Also you should, if you have not already done so, create a ResearchGate.net profile and claim all your papers already registered there. As with Academia.edu, you can upload the PDFs of scholarly publications, pre-prints, and other pieces with think-tanks, magazines, or similar institutions not yet listed in ResearchGate to this network. If you mark these new uploads as &#8220;Pre-Prints,&#8221; you can assign to these uploads a DOI number. </p><p>That is in so far useful as it means that they will, after a while, appear with these new DOI numbers in other networks, such as BASE, THE LENS, OpenAir, Dimensions, and DataCite which are all linked to ORCiD. You can then import your publications uploaded on ResearchGate with DOIs, via BASE, THE LENS, OpenAir, Dimensions, and DataCite, into ORCiD. Once they are listed there, you can export them from ORCiD into your Web of Science account, where they may appear in the category &#8220;Non-Indexed Documents.&#8221;</p><p>Finally, there are other relevant scholarly networks, registries, and databases you may want to check out or/and use as well as modify, including ISNI, WorldCat, SSOAR, Virtual international authority file, Scite, SSRN, Redalyc, ScienceOpen, IREON, Scilit, National H-Index, OpenAlex, ScholarGPS, AcademicInfluence, Loop, Kudos, etc. You can list your profiles in these databases, on your ORCiD account.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The meaning and effects of the 2026 Hungarian election results and resulting change of government for Ukraine and its relations to the EU]]></title><description><![CDATA[Five bullet points]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/the-meaning-and-effects-of-the-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/the-meaning-and-effects-of-the-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 21:03:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:157897,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/194003689?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4yln!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F14112862-3a8e-403d-a283-bab5cf8e5410_1920x1080.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>-&#9;Most immediately: an EU approval of the Union&#8217;s EUR90 billion for Ukraine which had been pre-approved by Orban (under the condition of an exclusion of Hungarian participation) in late 2025</p><p>-&#9;An opening of the first clusters for the start of negotiations of Ukraine&#8217;s accession to the EU</p><p>-&#9;A normalization of Hungarian often obstructionist behavior within the EU and NATO in foreign affairs and especially with regard to aid for Ukraine and sanctions against Russia</p><p>-&#9;A weakening of Russian, US and Chinese influence in Europe and especially of Moscow&#8217;s ability to conduct hybrid war against Ukraine through Hungary</p><p>-&#9;A defeat of international and especially European right-wing populism and extremism that is often &#8211; though not always &#8211; unsupportive of Ukraine, if not outrightly pro-Russian</p><p>More details in: Hungary&#8217;s 2026 Elections: Scenarios and Implications for the EU and Ukraine (=SCEEUS Commentary No. 8, 2026). By Klara Lindstr&#246;m Daniel Heged&#252;s: https://sceeus.se/en/publications/hungarys-2026-elections-scenarios-and-implications-for-the-eu-and-ukraine/ </p><p>Additions or corrections welcome!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Welche Auswirkungen hat die Bombardierung des Iran auf den Russisch-Ukrainischen Krieg?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Interview f&#252;r ein deutsches Webmagazin]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/welche-auswirkungen-hat-die-bombardierung</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/welche-auswirkungen-hat-die-bombardierung</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 21 Mar 2026 11:15:21 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg" width="265" height="190" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:190,&quot;width&quot;:265,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:7318,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/191628359?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z7Sq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9dd2afa-6be2-45a0-bd24-fec29e37ae17_265x190.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><blockquote><p><em>1.</em> <em>Anfangs hie&#223; es, Russland k&#246;nnte durch den US-amerikanischen und israelischen Angriff den Iran als bedeutenden Verb&#252;ndeten verlieren. Doch wie wichtig ist das Mullah-Regime f&#252;r den russischen Angriffskrieg &#252;berhaupt (noch)?</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Die Bedeutung des Iran als Waffenexporteur und R&#252;stungspartner Russlands ist im Laufe der vollumf&#228;nglichen Invasion seit 2022 zwar zur&#252;ckgegangen. Jedoch beeinflusst der Irankrieg indirekt die russische Position in der Weltpolitik. Nach Russlands faktischem Verrat an Armenien im Zweiten Karabachkrieg, Assads Regime in Syrien und Maduros F&#252;hrung in Venezuela entdecken nun auch die persischen Mullahs, dass Freundschaft und Vertr&#228;ge mit Putins Regime wenig bedeuten, wenn der Ernstfall eintritt. Ironischerweise haben Teheran und Moskau 2025 einen inzwischen voll ratifizierten Vertrag &#252;ber Strategische Partnerschaft abgeschlossen. Obwohl der Iran mit seiner r&#252;stungswirtschaftlichen Zusammenarbeit in der Fr&#252;hphase von Moskaus Gro&#223;invasion in der Ukraine entscheidend zur Entwicklung der russischen Drohnentruppen und damit zu Russlands Expansion beigetragen hat, ist der Wille und die F&#228;higkeit Russlands, das Mullah-Regime zu retten, beschr&#228;nkt. Das kratzt am Image des Kreml als globaler Spieler und Partner &#8211; sowohl innerhalb als auch au&#223;erhalb Russlands.</p><blockquote><p><em>2.</em> <em>Die hohen &#214;lpreise durch den Iran-Krieg f&#252;llen die Kassen im Kreml; zudem geben die USA den Kauf von russischem &#214;l f&#252;r 30 Tage frei, das sich bereits auf Schiffen, also auf See, befindet. Wie hilfreich sind diese Einnahmen f&#252;r die angeschlagene russische Wirtschaft? Und welche sp&#252;rbaren Folgen k&#246;nnten sie f&#252;r den Krieg haben?</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Es dr&#228;ngt sich hier eine klare Antwort auf, dass diese Entwicklungen zum Vorteil Russlands sind und den Krieg verl&#228;ngern werden. Allerdings bleibt abzuwarten, inwieweit die derzeitige Zunahme von Russlands Einnahmen die &#246;konomische und milit&#228;rische Kapazit&#228;t Russlands wirksam st&#228;rken wird. Wie lange wird die Blockade der Stra&#223;e von Hormuz, der Preisanstieg f&#252;r Erd&#246;l und Erdgas sowie die Lockerung der Sanktionen anhalten? Welcher Anteil der zus&#228;tzlichen Einnahmen wird effektiv f&#252;r &#246;konomische, r&#252;stungswirtschaftliche und milit&#228;rische Ziele des russischen Staates eingesetzt werden und nicht in den Taschen von Managern, B&#252;rokraten, Offizieren usw. verschwinden?</p><blockquote><p><em>3.</em> <em>W&#228;hrend die USA alle H&#228;nde voll zu tun haben, vermeldet Litauen, dass Russland seine Milit&#228;reinheiten an der NATO-Grenze verst&#228;rkt. Gibt es Grund zur Sorge, dass Russland zeitnah bzw. jetzt angreifen k&#246;nnte mit der aktuellen Krise in Nahost?</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Eine russische milit&#228;rische Eskalation &#8211; insbesondere gegen&#252;ber NATO-Mitgliedsstaaten - ist unwahrscheinlich, solange der Russisch-Ukrainische Krieg anh&#228;lt. Eine bewaffnete Konfrontation im Baltikum k&#246;nnte f&#252;r Russland zu einem Zweifrontenkrieg f&#252;hren und w&#228;re im Interesse der Ukraine. Moskau wird jedoch nichts zum Vorteil Kyjiws tun. Aus diesem Grund k&#246;nnen die vielen hybriden Aktionen Russlands auf NATO-Territorium weit entschiedener als bisher beantwortet werden. Eine aggressive Reaktion Moskaus auf ad&#228;quate Antworten k&#246;nnten eine milit&#228;rische Eskalation ausl&#246;sen. Diese w&#252;rde den Kreml zwingen, Ressourcen von der ukrainischen Front abzuziehen oder zur&#252;ckzuhalten. Eine Eskalation zu einem Krieg an der Ostflanke der NATO ist daher derzeit nicht im russischen Interesse.</p><ol start="4"><li><p><em>Erw&#228;gen Sie die M&#246;glichkeit, dass sich Russland und China &#8222;abstimmen&#8220; k&#246;nnten: Der eine greift Taiwan und der andere ein NATO-Gebiet gleichzeitig an w&#228;hrend des Iran-Kriegs? Inwieweit k&#246;nnten die NATO-Mitglieder solch ein Szenario bew&#228;ltigen?</em></p></li></ol><p style="text-align: justify;">Auch hier gilt, dass &#8211; selbst wenn China an solch einem russischen Angriff auf das NATO-Territorium interessiert w&#228;re &#8211; Russland geneigt sein wird, einen Zweifrontentenkrieg zu vermeiden. Freilich bleibt ein Rest an Unsicherheit dar&#252;ber, ob der Kreml rational handelt. Vollst&#228;ndig auszuschlie&#223;en ist solch ein Szenario somit nicht.</p><blockquote><p><em>5.</em> <em>Ergeben sich aus dem Iran-Krieg auch Vorteile f&#252;r die Ukraine? Falls, ja welche?</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Der erw&#228;hnte Imageverlust Russlands als internationaler Partner ist zwar im mittelbaren Interesse der Ukraine. Allerdings &#252;berwiegen zun&#228;chst die unmittelbar negativen Folgen f&#252;r Kyjiw. Ob sich im Weiteren die weltpolitischen R&#252;ckwirkungen des Iran-Krieges auch vorteilhaft f&#252;r die Ukraine darstellen k&#246;nnten, bleibt abzuwarten. Viel wird von der Reaktion der EU und ihrer Mitgliedsstaaten auf die Entwicklungen im Persischen Golf und Osteuropa abh&#228;ngen.</p></blockquote>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Two Oddities of Viktor Orban's Ukrainophobia]]></title><description><![CDATA[Budapest's Sabotage of Ukrainian Statehood and Western Integration in Hungarian National-Historical Perspective]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/two-oddities-of-viktor-orbans-ukrainophobia</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/two-oddities-of-viktor-orbans-ukrainophobia</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 17:15:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png" width="937" height="558" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:558,&quot;width&quot;:937,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:36932,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/190639810?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z4wM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82d70581-dcea-4cc6-b50f-a98551da0283_937x558.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>One function of Hungary's liberation from Moscow's hegemony in 1989 and accession to NATO in 1999 as well as the EU in 2004 was apparently to, three decades later, stab in the back a neighboring nation trying to do what Hungary once did and to assist Russia in its largest European war since 1945.</p><p><br>Even more oddly, NATO's eastward enlargement after 1991, including Hungary's accession to NATO in 1999, is today listed by Moscow and accepted by many non-Russian observers as a major reason for Russia's war on Ukraine. The Ukrainians are, according to this theory, today paying the bill for, among others, Hungary's accession to NATO two-and-a-half decades ago. In gratitude, the Hungarian government has, for several years now, been sabotaging wherever and however it could Ukraine's fight for survival and Euro-Atlantic integration.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Zhirinovskii as a Fascist]]></title><description><![CDATA[Palingenetic Ultra-Nationalism and the Emergence of the Liberal-Democratic Party of Russia, 1992&#8211;1993]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/zhirinovskii-as-a-fascist</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/zhirinovskii-as-a-fascist</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2026 15:32:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg" width="1456" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:142189,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/190005344?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XF0z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F056bed07-492c-41ef-84ae-c93c1a900428_1789x1278.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A chapter from: Felix Riefer, Julie Fedor, Leonid Luks, and Andreas Umland, eds, <em>Russia Before the Full-Scale War. Vol. II: Memories, Ideologies and Politics</em>, 1991&#8211;2021. Stuttgart: <em>ibidem</em>-Verlag, 2026. Pp. 73-100. <a href="https://cup.columbia.edu/book/russia-before-the-full-scale-war-vol-ii/9783838220451/">https://cup.columbia.edu/book/russia-before-the-full-scale-war-vol-ii/9783838220451/</a></p><p></p><p>Zhirinovskii&#8217;s vision of a national palingenesis through a &#8220;going down&#8221; to the Indian Ocean can be interpreted as having four interconnected dimensions. First, Russia will be reborn by &#8220;reconnecting&#8221; to her eternal mission of saving the world, and fulfilling a destiny irrevocably given to her by History. This time, she protects the &#8220;civilized&#8221; North from the growing Islamic threat and takes on the &#8220;white man&#8217;s burden&#8221; of governing unruly &#8220;Southerners.&#8221; Second, the Russians have to execute the &#8220;last dash&#8221; and introduce a centralized, unitary, authoritarian and, at least by implication, Russian-dominated regime from &#8220;Kabul to Istanbul&#8221; in order to save their nation from imminent internal degradation that would follow further penetration with aliens. They have to deal finally with the &#8220;South&#8221; because &#8220;all of Russia&#8217;s ills are in the South.&#8221;  By way of eventually taking care of its major historical dilemma, the Russian nation will be rejuvenated through its liberation from centuries-old destructive Southern influence. Third, Russia as a Northern country will be reborn by finally getting deserved access to warm waters, and by being able to cleanse herself from the &#8220;filth&#8221; of the past. She will become a country with a novel, forward-looking identity freed from historical complexes. Fourth, the Russian people and its army will be born anew through the armed campaign itself which will result into a &#8220;soothing&#8221; of the whole Eurasian continent. Zhirinovskii&#8217;s Russia would be a new country: clean, calm, of so far unknown extension. She would again be equipped with a world-historical mission as well as purified and steeled by a large military operation. </p><p>More: <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/401584019_Zhirinovskii_as_a_Fascist_Palingenetic_Ultra-Nationalism_and_the_Emergence_of_the_Liberal-Democratic_Party_of_Russia_1992-1993">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/401584019_Zhirinovskii_as_a_Fascist_Palingenetic_Ultra-Nationalism_and_the_Emergence_of_the_Liberal-Democratic_Party_of_Russia_1992-1993</a></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg" width="197" height="256" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:256,&quot;width&quot;:197,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:6706,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/190005344?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G0BR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68bb5322-59e8-464a-a589-4834afd39f42_197x256.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Panel: Where Can One Publish Research on Ukraine? Berlin, 23.2.26 ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Book Stage of the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung's yearly #CafeKyiv in the Kino Colosseum of Berlin, on 23 February 2026: https://lnkd.in/dZwZGRqg.]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/panel-where-can-one-publish-research</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/panel-where-can-one-publish-research</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 04:45:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg" width="1080" height="1440" 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https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QqWV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F64d7b16f-db92-4138-8590-34051c9c0dbc_1080x1440.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Book Stage of the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung's yearly <strong>#CafeKyiv</strong> in the Kino Colosseum of Berlin, on 23 February 2026: <a href="https://lnkd.in/dZwZGRqg">https://lnkd.in/dZwZGRqg</a>.</p><p>Where Can One Publish Research on Ukraine? 17:00 - 17:30 </p><p>Organizer: ibidem-Verlag</p><p>Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion of Ukraine was prepared with and includes a large information war distorting, hiding, perverting etc. the truth about this assault and about Ukraine. The Russian government systematically deploys mis- and disinformation to influence public opinion across the world in favor of the Kremlin. This is not only a challenge for journalism, but also for publicism, literature and scholarship. Where and how can credible, independent perspectives on Ukraine and the war be published? Ukrainian and German publishers and series editors who are deeply committed to amplifying Ukrainian voices will present their outlets and discuss opportunities for publishing individual as well as collective research.</p><p>Moderator: </p><p>Andreas Umland, Book series "Ukrainian Voices"&#8203; /SPPS &amp; JSPPS, ibidem Press</p><p></p><p>Speakers: </p><p>Alla Vaysband, &#8220;Dukh i Litera&#8221; Publishing and Research Association, Kyiv</p><p>Susann Worschech, Book Series &#8220;Interdisciplinary Ukrainian Studies,&#8221; Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft</p><p>Andr&#233; Stoerr, Book Series &#8220;Ukraine im Fokus,&#8221; Verlag Friedrich Mauke</p><p>Iwona Reichardt &amp; Adam Reichardt, Magazine &#8220;New Eastern Europe,&#8221; Kolegium Europy Wschodniej im. Jana Nowaka-Jeziora&#324;skiego we Wroc&#322;awiu (KEW)</p><p>Simon Schlegel, Website "Ukraine verstehen," Zentrum Liberale Moderne</p><p>Michael Dobbins, Book series "Ukraine erkl&#228;ren," Springer VS</p><p></p><p>https://cafekyiv.kas.de/programm/</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[On the Ambivalence of Promotion Assistance]]></title><description><![CDATA[A self-serving reflection on the pitfalls of helping a professional friend]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-the-ambivalence-of-promotion-assistance</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-the-ambivalence-of-promotion-assistance</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 16:32:03 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg" width="241" height="161" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:161,&quot;width&quot;:241,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:15442,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/185314311?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TwPs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a8398bc-3f57-48c9-a903-a96b5e23055f_241x161.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><br>As perhaps others here too, I get a lot of assistance requests from outside the institutions that employ me, and where we assist each other as everyday colleagues. Sometimes close, sometimes distant friends and acquaintances too ask me to place, forward, share, post,  promote.... text drafts, and sometimes also other products (projects, books, videos, pictures, articles etc.). In some cases, I do that, but in many others I don't. Why? <br>My own connections in editorial boards, social networks, discussion groups... are unfortunately not the convenient result of some senior colleague once mentoring, curating or supporting me. They are the outcome of years of tediously sending hundreds if not thousands of emails to anonymous editorial addresses, "friend requests" to remote colleagues, repeated texts via messengers of social networks, etc. And sending the same or similar messages again, again, and again. <br>Take the typical request for help to place a draft text with an influential outlet or publisher: Contrary to the impression that some may have, most of MY OWN submissions to influential journals, newspapers, magazines, and presses are IGNORED or REJECTED. Often, as everybody longer in this "business" will know, one does not get an answer at all -- even from those publishers that earlier published a submitted text. Only if the editor is diligent, one gets a formal rejection. <br>Eventually, to be sure, somebody will - if one is persistent enough - take the text and publish it. But to get there demands - sometimes a lot of - secretarial work: Looking for addresses, formulating cover letters, editing the draft, sending and resending the introduction email, remembering whom you have approached and whom not yet, and repeating all of this 5, 10, 15, or, when I started getting into this "business", 25 times (if not more). And once your text has been accepted, a second stage of work starts: communicating with the editor, answering her/his questions, making adaptations, reading the house edited version, etc. Whom will the editor approach as I and not the author was the initial point of contact?<br>I am thus reluctant to help non-colleagues with such requests: They approach me with a skewed assumption about how op-eds, reports, papers and books appear in the public. If I help them successfully, this skewed perception - "You have to know somebody who knows somebody..." - is only perpetuated. Worse, I run the risk of advancing to their (unpaid) literary agent or even their "General Secretary" who takes care of all this ridiculous mailing stuff. <br>If I do not succeed with placing THEIR, but then succeed with placing MY text with a certain publisher, that can become an outright bummer: I had agreed to help, yet obviously did not put enough effort to deliver on my promise. What a "friend"! (That even an unsuccessful submission to a stressed-out editor I happen to know has been a use of my social capital and may have cost me credit with that editor is acknowledged seldomly.) <br>Many reading this will not be surprised at all, and may have more experience with as well as deeper insights into these issues than me. Yet, other well-meaning acquaintances do not see these complications. They do the most natural thing in the world: Ask for some help from a long-term friend or experienced acquaintant. Yet, as illustrated above, promotion is a long and complicated game that one will mostly regret to have let oneself been drawn into. Thus do not be offended, if I do not react or do not react positively to an, at first glance, innocent assistance request. Try to build your own network of professional contacts, and then use them wisely!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Publ.: The Politics of World War II Memories in the North (Open Access)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Journal of Soviet and Post-Soviet Politics and Society 11, no. 2 (2025)]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/publ-the-politics-of-world-war-ii</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/publ-the-politics-of-world-war-ii</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 13:50:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg" width="507" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:507,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:45597,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/181984389?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6NeX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5273d4a-5d1f-444e-a853-26d54d6e4990_507x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p><a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Kari-Aga-Myklebost-oxid.html">Kari Aga Myklebost</a>, <a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Havard-Baekken-oxid-9.html">Havard Baekken</a>, <a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Stian-Bones-oxid.html">Stian Bones</a> (eds.)</p><p><strong>The Politics of World War II Memories in the North: Regional and Transborder Memory Politics in Russia and Norway</strong> // Special issue of the <em>Journal of Soviet and Post-Soviet Politics and Society </em>11, no. 2 (2025)</p><p>Open Access E-book:</p><p><a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/Social-Sciences/Political-Science/Journal-of-Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society-E-Book-oxid-5.html">https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/Social-Sciences/Political-Science/Journal-of-Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society-E-Book-oxid-5.html</a></p><p>Paperback:</p><p><a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/Social-Sciences/Political-Science/Journal-of-Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society-oxid-2.html">https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/Social-Sciences/Political-Science/Journal-of-Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society-oxid-2.html</a></p><p><a href="https://cup.columbia.edu/book/journal-of-soviet-and-post-soviet-politics-and-society/9783838220550/">https://cup.columbia.edu/book/journal-of-soviet-and-post-soviet-politics-and-society/9783838220550/</a></p><p>CONTENTS</p><p>Introduction. The Politics of World War II Memories in the North: An Interplay Perspective</p><p>H. B&#198;KKEN, K. A. MYKLEBOST, AND S. BONES</p><p>&#8220;The Little Motherland&#8221; in Policy and Practice: Yunarmiia&#8217;s Local Anchoring of the Grand Patriotic Narrative in Northwest Russia</p><p>H. B&#198;KKEN AND D. ASP&#216;Y</p><p>Public Libraries and the Contemporary Politics of Great Patriotic War Memory in the Pechenga Region, Russia<br>E. KOCHETKOVA</p><p>Teaching the Great Patriotic War: Navigating Federal Narratives and Local Memories in Russian School History Textbooks</p><p>H. BLAKKISRUD</p><p>Contested Memories of the Violent Past in a Border Region: The Memory Politics of Stalinist Terror and Finnish Occupation in Post-Soviet Karelia</p><p>A. SPIRIN</p><p>Empowering Memories of Liberation: The Kirkenes Red Army Liberation Commemorations in Norwegian&#8211;Russian Relations (1994&#8211;2019)</p><p>K. A. MYKLEBOST, K. L. GJERDE, AND S. BONES</p><p>Militarizing Soviet POW Memories: The &#8220;Soviet Prisoners of War in Norway&#8221; Traveling Exhibition in Russia</p><p>M. N. SOLEIM</p><p>Project Nordland Railroad: How Heritage Diplomacy Derailed Between Norwegian Aspirations and Russian Appropriations</p><p>J. A. MARKUSSEN AND P. MANKOVA</p><p>Exporting State Patriotism: The Russian&#8211;Norwegian Patriotic Memory Tours (2011&#8211;2019)</p><p>K. A. MYKLEBOST</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[On Prisoner Releases as Political Instruments]]></title><description><![CDATA[Two links for further reading]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-prisoner-releases-as-political</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/on-prisoner-releases-as-political</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 14 Dec 2025 12:04:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W7Eh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cce4487-abba-4285-bd95-26614b09fddf_8256x5504.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" 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pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The freeing of Russian and Belarusian political prisoners is certainly very welcome. Yet, their rescue in exchange for the release of Russia&#8217;s foreign agents and a lifting of significant economic sanctions against Belarus&#8217;s regime can generate perverse incentive structures for Putin and Lukashenka.</p><p>The strategic &amp; normative dilemmas emerging from a stepwise liberation of dissidents are well-described in the below Substack by <span class="mention-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Boris Bondarev&quot;,&quot;id&quot;:178566765,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;user&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:null,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a76eef31-b874-4188-9a37-d7ad9eb8c0ca_972x1387.jpeg&quot;,&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;03c3add5-35d4-43c3-88cf-2f4b09b31eda&quot;}" data-component-name="MentionToDOM"></span>. Among others, it can encourage more imprisonments of opposition figures, by the authoritarian regime. Instead of being punished, the ruler is rewarded for repression.</p><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:181518260,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://borisbondarev.substack.com/p/buying-prisoners-from-a-dictator&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:3040592,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Boris Bondarev&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2NUH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F990564f6-cfa2-4ded-942e-fc88ea6ff757_320x320.png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Buying Prisoners from a Dictator Is a Strategic Mistake&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;On December 13, 2025, the Belarusian authorities released a group of political prisoners. The releases came after negotiations the United States, and were accompanied by sanctions relief, including Belarus&#8217;s potash sector. Formally, this did not amount to a full lifting of sanctions, but rather a set of exemptions and relaxations that, in practice, reop&#8230;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2025-12-13T16:02:48.160Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:4,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:178566765,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Boris Bondarev&quot;,&quot;handle&quot;:&quot;borisbondarev&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:null,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a76eef31-b874-4188-9a37-d7ad9eb8c0ca_972x1387.jpeg&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;Russian ex-diplomat, expert on Russia's foreign policy, non-proliferation, arms control and global security. Now a political emigre trying to figure out what should be done to stop the war and get rid of Putin and his clique &quot;,&quot;profile_set_up_at&quot;:&quot;2024-09-19T08:56:58.403Z&quot;,&quot;reader_installed_at&quot;:&quot;2024-09-19T12:12:19.373Z&quot;,&quot;publicationUsers&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:3094061,&quot;user_id&quot;:178566765,&quot;publication_id&quot;:3040592,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:true,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:3040592,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Boris Bondarev&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;borisbondarev&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Diplomacy and war: si vis pacem, para bellum&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/990564f6-cfa2-4ded-942e-fc88ea6ff757_320x320.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:178566765,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:178566765,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2024-09-19T08:57:03.682Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:null,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Boris Bondarev&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:&quot;Founding Member&quot;,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;enabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false}}],&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:null,&quot;status&quot;:{&quot;bestsellerTier&quot;:null,&quot;subscriberTier&quot;:null,&quot;leaderboard&quot;:null,&quot;vip&quot;:false,&quot;badge&quot;:null,&quot;paidPublicationIds&quot;:[],&quot;subscriber&quot;:null}}],&quot;utm_campaign&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:null}" data-component-name="EmbeddedPostToDOM"><a class="embedded-post" native="true" href="https://borisbondarev.substack.com/p/buying-prisoners-from-a-dictator?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_campaign=post_embed&amp;utm_medium=web"><div class="embedded-post-header"><img class="embedded-post-publication-logo" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2NUH!,w_56,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F990564f6-cfa2-4ded-942e-fc88ea6ff757_320x320.png"><span class="embedded-post-publication-name">Boris Bondarev</span></div><div class="embedded-post-title-wrapper"><div class="embedded-post-title">Buying Prisoners from a Dictator Is a Strategic Mistake</div></div><div class="embedded-post-body">On December 13, 2025, the Belarusian authorities released a group of political prisoners. The releases came after negotiations the United States, and were accompanied by sanctions relief, including Belarus&#8217;s potash sector. Formally, this did not amount to a full lifting of sanctions, but rather a set of exemptions and relaxations that, in practice, reop&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">6 months ago &#183; 4 likes &#183; Boris Bondarev</div></a></div><p>The ambivalent effects of such deals are exacerbated by the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War. For instance, Russian political prisoners exchanged in 2024 asked for lifting sanctions against Russia.</p><p>On some different, but partly related issues before 2022, see this #SCEEUS report with Stanislav Aseyev:</p><p>https://sceeus.se/publikationer/prisoners-as-political-commodities-in-the-occupied-areas-of-the-donbas/ </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nWW9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F53718cbc-c70c-4a2b-b323-0e67078164c4_581x824.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nWW9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F53718cbc-c70c-4a2b-b323-0e67078164c4_581x824.jpeg 424w, 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pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Psychomoral Vagaries of Ukraine-Bashing]]></title><description><![CDATA[A reflection about some foreign comments on the recent Ukrainian corruption scandal]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/psychomoral-vagaries-of-ukraine-bashing</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/psychomoral-vagaries-of-ukraine-bashing</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2025 16:35:00 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg" width="275" height="183" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:183,&quot;width&quot;:275,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:11924,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/178804529?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!epUi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04663211-0221-430c-ba9c-74577f1ac0ef_275x183.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Much of the harsher forms of world-wide foreign criticism and judgement of Ukraine has only little to do with Ukraine - and not even with Russia. <br><br>Instead, excessive critique of Ukrainian domestic and foreign affairs is a form of moral escapism. It provides psychological relief in view of the weekly reported horrendous crimes committed against Ukrainians since 2022. For many, Ukraine-bashing solves the contradiction between the relative inaction of oneself or one&#8217;s nation vis-a-vis Russia&#8217;s expansionist war, in comparison to one&#8217;s own or one&#8217;s nation&#8217;s relative capability to help Ukraine and constrain Russia.<br><br>Victim blaming helps to suspend, at least temporarily, human empathy, responsibility and feelings of guilt. However, as repeated kicking down on Ukrainians only increases the initial ethical dilemma, the critique of some may only grow rather than diminish with time. At the end, Russia will, with its war of cultural annihilation, appear for some as the Sword of God that punishes the Ukrainians for their deficiencies. That can apperently happen in spite or even because of Putin &amp; Co&#8217;s genocidal impulses and morbid ruthlessness.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Future World Conflict: Clash of Civilizations or Autocrats vs. Democrats?]]></title><description><![CDATA[About Two Seminal Books on International Affairs by Michael McFaul and the late Samuel Huntington]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/future-world-conflict-clash-of-civilizations</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/future-world-conflict-clash-of-civilizations</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 09 Nov 2025 16:43:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png" width="838" height="946" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:946,&quot;width&quot;:838,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:865562,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/178426146?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!o8c5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa5d512-dd02-47ff-8d8e-8b08fda1e4d9_838x946.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Today&#8217;s core global conflict revolves more, in Stanford professor Michael McFaul&#8217;s terms, around autocracies versus democracies and less around a &#8220;clash of civilizations,&#8221; as the late Harvard professor Samuel Huntington put it more than three decades ago. Huntington&#8217;s famous thesis does not explain the current cooperation between Christian Orthodox Russia, Islamic fundamentalist Iran and paleo-communist North Korea in the Russian war against Christian Orthodox Ukraine. </p><p>More in the KYIV POST at: <a href="https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/63913">https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/63913</a> and in this commentary for the SCEEUS: https://sceeus.se/publikationer/can-europe-go-it-alone/</p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The discussion of Russia's deportation of children as genocide]]></title><description><![CDATA[A bibliography]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/the-discussion-of-russias-deportation</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/the-discussion-of-russias-deportation</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2025 17:40:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif" width="1240" height="826" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:826,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:39089,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/178198431?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRHb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c6801d7-8258-474e-8346-46b76191ab8f_1240x826.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Below is an incomplete list of scholars and other authors who have discussed Article II.e of the Genocide Convention in connection to Russian child abductions since 2022. See also: Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.coe.int/en/web/portal/-/the-forcible-transfer-and-russification-of-ukrainian-children-shows-evidence-of-genocide-says-pace">The forcible transfer and &#8216;russification&#8217; of Ukrainian children shows evidence of genocide, says PACE</a></strong>&#8217;, News, 28 April 2023.</p><p>Note, however, that these deportations began not in 2022, but in 2014. See: Embassy of Ukraine to Ireland, &#8216;<strong><a href="https://ireland.mfa.gov.ua/en/news/2410-komentar-mzs-shhodo-protipravnogo-usinovlennya-ditej-gromadyan-ukrajini-na-teritoriji-krimu">On illegal adoption of the orphaned children of Ukrainian nationality in Crimea</a></strong>&#8217;, News, 17 October 2014. For further details, see the seminal text on events before 2022 by Sumlenny, S., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://european-resilience.org/analytics/how-west-tolerated-russias-kidnapping-ukrainian-children">How the West Tolerated Russia&#8217;s Kidnapping of Ukrainian Children</a></strong>&#8216;. <em>European Resilience Initiative Center</em>, 27 March 2023.</p><p>Note also that, to my knowledge, the first use of &#8220;genocide&#8221; by a reputed scholar, namely a Prof. Emeritus of International Law at the University of Hamburg, in connection to Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion did not primarilly refer to child abductions but to the February-April 2022 events in Mariupol: Luchterhandt, O., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://zeitschrift-osteuropa.de/blog/voelkermord-in-mariupol/">V&#246;lkermord in Mariupol&#700;: Russlands Kriegsf&#252;hrung in der Ukraine</a></strong>&#8216;, <em>Osteuropa</em>, 14 April 2022.</p><p>Alphabetically:</p><p>Ayd&#305;ng&#252;n, A., Morkva, V., Ayd&#305;ng&#252;n, I., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/nana.70011">Beyond Genocide, Ethnocide and Identicide: Russia&#8217;s &#8216;Strategic Imperial Demographic Policy&#8217; of Russifying Ukrainian Children</a>&#8216;</strong>. <em>Nations and Nationalism, </em>2025, 1&#8211;11.</p><p>Azarov, D., Koval, D., Nuridzhanian, G. and Venher, V., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://academic.oup.com/jicj/article/21/2/233/7197410">Understanding Russia&#8217;s Actions in Ukraine as the Crime of Genocide</a></strong>&#8217;, <em>Journal of International Criminal Justice</em>, Vol. 21, No. 2, 2023, pp. 233-264.</p><p>Blank, L. R., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.jurist.org/commentary/2022/04/laurie-blank-russia-invasion-ukraine-genocide/">Forcible Transfer of Children in Ukraine: An Element of Genocide?</a></strong>&#8216; <em>JuristNews</em>, April 21, 2022.</p><p>Chodakiewicz, J. M. and Perdue, M., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.iwp.edu/articles/2022/11/04/another-genocide-russia-kidnaps-ukraines-children/">Another Genocide: Russia kidnaps Ukraine&#8217;s children&#8217;</a></strong>, <em>Institute of World Politics</em>, 2022.</p><p>Diamond, Y., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://newlinesinstitute.org/an-independent-legal-analysis-of-the-russian-federations-breaches-of-the-genocide-convention-in-ukraine-and-the-duty-to-prevent/">An Independent Legal Analysis of the Russian Federation&#8217;s Breaches of the Genocide Convention in Ukraine and the Duty to Prevent</a></strong>&#8217;, <em>New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy</em>, May 2023.</p><p>Fedosiuk, T., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://icds.ee/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2023/02/ICDS_Analysis_The_Stolen_Children_Tetiana_Fedosiuk_February_2023.pdf">The Stolen Children: How Russia Attempts to Kidnap Ukraine&#8217;s Future&#8217;</a></strong>, <em>International Centre for Defence and Security</em>, 2023.</p><p>Frantsuz A., Stepanenko, N., Shevchenko, D. &#8216;<strong>Abduction of Ukrainian Children during Full-Scale Invasion</strong>&#8216;, <em>Journal of International Legal Communication</em>, Vol. 9, No. 2, 2023, pp.16-26.</p><p>Fronek, P., Rotabi-Casares, K. S., &amp; Lypovetska, M., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/00208728231209474">The taken children of Ukraine</a></strong>&#8216;, <em>International Social Work</em>, vol. 67, no. 3, 2023, pp. 602-615.</p><p>Gillich, I., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://digitalcommons.pace.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1442&amp;context=pilr">Forced Adoptions of Ukrainian Children from an International Human Rights and Humanitarian Law Perspective&#8217;</a></strong>, <em>Pace International Law Review</em>, Vol. 37, No. 1, Article 2. May 2025.</p><p>Havrylov, V., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/russias-mass-abduction-of-ukrainian-children-may-qualify-as-genocide/">Russia&#8217;s mass abduction of Ukrainian children may qualify as genocide&#8217;</a></strong>, <em>Atlantic Council</em>, 2023.</p><p>Ibrahim, A., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/01/russia-theft-children-kidnapping-ukraine-genocide/">Russia&#8217;s Theft of Children in Ukraine Is Genocide: Moscow is out to destroy a people</a></strong>&#8216;. <em>Foreign Policy</em>, March 1, 2023.</p><p>Ioffe, Y., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14623528.2023.2228085">Forcibly Transferring Ukrainian Children to the Russian Federation: A Genocide?</a></strong>&#8217;, <em>Journal of Genocide Research</em>, 2023.</p><p>Ortman, P. H. L., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://repositorio.ucp.pt/bitstreams/13095dbc-ecd9-4658-8b99-57fb3051cadd/download">Ukraine&#8217;s Stolen Generations: The Forcible Transfer of Ukrainian Children as Cultural Genocide</a></strong>&#8216;, <em>Porto Faculty of Law</em>, 2025.</p><p>Shaw, M., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14623528.2023.2185372?journalCode=cjgr20">Russia&#8217;s Genocidal War in Ukraine: Radicalization and Social Destruction</a></strong>,&#8217; <em>Journal of Genocide Research, </em>2023, pp. 1-30.</p><p>Uehling, G., &#8216;<strong>Inside Russia&#8217;s Campaign to Steal and Indoctrinate Ukrainian Children&#8217;,</strong> <em>SAPIENS</em>, July 2, 2024.</p><p>Vasylenko, V., &#8216;<strong><a href="https://holodomormuseum.org.ua/en/news-museji/the-kidnapping-of-ukrainian-children-by-russia-is-evidence-of-the-genocide-of-the-ukrainian-nation/">The kidnapping of Ukrainian children by Russia is evidence of the genocide of the Ukrainian nation</a></strong>&#8216;, <em>Holodomor Museum</em>, September 2, 2022.</p><p>Woo, P. K., &#8216;<strong><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.29159/kjas.42.2.125">Russia&#8217;s Abduction of Children in Ukraine War and Applicability of UN Genocide Convention</a></strong>&#8216;, <em>Korean Association of Area Studies</em> 42, no. 2, 2024, pp. 125&#8211;54.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[FRESH OFF THE PRESS: Russia Before the Full-Scale War. Vol. I: Elites, Institutions, and Society, 1991–2021. ibidem-Verlag, 2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[Edited by Felix Riefer, Julie Fedor, Leonid Luks, and Andreas Umland]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/fresh-off-the-press-russia-before</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/fresh-off-the-press-russia-before</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2025 14:19:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg" width="469" height="665" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:665,&quot;width&quot;:469,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:63051,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/177368912?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fpLQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74aec9c1-1b04-4ebb-8c2f-f7f417e7a075_469x665.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Contents<br><br>Introduction: The Volume&#8217;s Background and Outline<br>Felix Riefer ............................................................................................... 7<br><br>I The Soviet Pre-History<br><br>She-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named: A Note about the Soviet<br>Dissident Bacronym &#8220;Sof&#8217;ia Vlas&#8217;evna&#8221;<br>Natalia Samover ..................................................................................... 17<br><br>Mikhail Putin (1894&#8211;1969) and Socialist Competition: Exploring<br>a Neglected Branch of the Putin Family Tree<br>Chris Monday......................................................................................... 39<br><br>Soviet Bureaucracy as a Category Coining Machine: Ethnicity,<br>Ethnography, and the &#8220;Primordial Trap&#8221;<br>Simon Schlegel ..................................................................................... 101<br><br>Another Life of the Soviet Intelligentsia: The Subconscious of<br>Neo-Russian Liberalism<br>Konstantin Kaminskij .......................................................................... 125<br><br>II The Post-Soviet Path<br><br>&#8220;Weimar Russia?&#8221; Notes on a Controversial Concept<br>Leonid Luks .......................................................................................... 153<br><br>Why Russia&#8217;s Democracy Never Began<br>Maria Snegovaya .................................................................................. 175<br><br>Institutional Legacies and Systemic Transformation in Eastern<br>Europe: Ukraine, Russia, and the European Union<br>Alexander J. Motyl ............................................................................... 193<br><br>Think Tanks and the Design of Foreign Policy in the Russian<br>Federation<br>Felix Riefer ........................................................................................... 213<br><br>The Return to Patriotic Education in Post-Soviet Russia: How,<br>When, and Why the Russian Military Engaged in Civilian<br>Nation Building<br>H&#229;vard B&#230;kken .................................................................................... 247<br><br>Filtering Foreign Media Content: How Russian News Agencies<br>Repurpose Western News Reporting<br>Rolf Fredheim ....................................................................................... 283<br><br>&#8220;I&#8217;m a Feminist, Therefore&#8230;&#8221;: The Art of Gender and Sexual<br>Dissent in 2010s Ukraine and Russia<br>Olenka Dmytryk ................................................................................... 327<br><br>About the Editors and Contributors ............................................... 367<br><br><br>Order via:<br><br><a href="https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Series/Society-Politics/Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society/Russia-Before-the-Full-Scale-War.html">https://www.ibidem.eu/en/Series/Society-Politics/Soviet-and-Post-Soviet-Politics-and-Society/Russia-Before-the-Full-Scale-War.html</a><br><br><a href="https://cup.columbia.edu/book/russia-before-the-full-scale-war-vol-i/9783838219356/">https://cup.columbia.edu/book/russia-before-the-full-scale-war-vol-i/9783838219356/</a><br><br><a href="https://www.amazon.com/-/de/dp/383821935X/">https://www.amazon.com/-/de/dp/383821935X/</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[World Affairs, Volume 188, Issue 4, Winter 2025: Table of Contents]]></title><description><![CDATA[Founded in 1837 and published by Wiley on behalf of the Policy Studies Organization.]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/world-affairs-volume-188-issue-4</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/world-affairs-volume-188-issue-4</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2025 13:21:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Een!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab9ae926-ab5c-426f-a18e-c028b1d25056_1920x1080.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/19401582/2025/188/4">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/19401582/2025/188/4</a></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.12033">Issue Information</a></strong></h2><p></p><h3><strong>ORIGINAL ARTICLE</strong></h3><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70037">Balancing Economic Integration and Dependency: Insights Into Trade and Investment Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Yana+Mbena/Jacques">Jacques Yana Mbena</a></p><ul><li><p>e70037</p></li><li><p>First Published: 13 October 2025</p><p></p></li></ul><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70040">India&#8217;s Role in the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework: A Balancing Act</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Khashimwo/Pamreihor">Pamreihor Khashimwo</a></p><ul><li><p>e70040</p></li><li><p>First Published: 13 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Open Access</strong></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70028">Energy Price Inflation and Real Output Nexus in Selected Sub-Saharan African Economies</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Iheonu/Chimere+O.">Chimere O. Iheonu</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Mbohwa/Charles">Charles Mbohwa</a></p><ul><li><p>e70028</p></li><li><p>First Published: 13 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70030">Pathways to Achieving SDGs in Africa: Investigating the Impact of Digitalization and Labor Market Productivity on Income, Employment, Poverty, and Inequality</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Alimi/Olorunfemi+Yasiru">Olorunfemi Yasiru Alimi</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Campbell/Omolara+Ayotunde">Omolara Ayotunde Campbell</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Bolarinwa/Fatimah+Ololade">Fatimah Ololade Bolarinwa</a></p><ul><li><p>First Published: 13 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Open Access</strong></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70032">US Foreign Policy and the Gulf States: Changing Dynamics in a Multipolar World</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Wright/Steven">Steven Wright</a></p><ul><li><p>e270032</p></li><li><p>First Published: 06 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70027">Assessing Monetary and Fiscal Policy Measures to Promote the Sustainability of Domestic and Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Byaro/Mwoya">Mwoya Byaro</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Rwezaula/Anicet">Anicet Rwezaula</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Bulili/Jackson">Jackson Bulili</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Dimoso/Romanus">Romanus Dimoso</a></p><ul><li><p>e270027</p></li><li><p>First Published: 06 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h3><strong>BOOK REVIEW ESSAY</strong></h3><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70031">How Is the Global Order Changing? A Review of Emerging Global Approaches Beyond the West</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/do+Vale/Helder+Ferreira">Helder Ferreira do Vale</a></p><ul><li><p>e270031</p></li><li><p>First Published: 06 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h3><strong>ORIGINAL ARTICLE</strong></h3><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70039">The Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity: Geopolitical and Economic Strategies in a Declining Liberal International Order?</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Petrone/Francesco">Francesco Petrone</a></p><ul><li><p>e70039</p></li><li><p>First Published: 12 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h3><strong>COMMENTARY</strong></h3><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70034">Will Smaller Powers Obtain WMDs?</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Umland/Andreas">Andreas Umland</a></p><ul><li><p>e70034</p></li><li><p>First Published: 13 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70035">Justice Post-Tutsi Genocide in Rwanda: When &#8220;Community Service&#8221; Fails to Repair the Damage Suffered by Survivors and the Torn Social Fabric</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Muzima/Philibert">Philibert Muzima</a></p><ul><li><p>e270035</p></li><li><p>First Published: 17 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h3><strong>ORIGINAL ARTICLE</strong></h3><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70036">Disputed Sovereignty and Forced Displacement: Rethinking the Bakassi Peninsula Crisis Through International Law and Human Security</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Adenuga/Gbeke">Gbeke Adenuga</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Bamidele/Seun">Seun Bamidele</a></p><ul><li><p>e270036</p></li><li><p>First Published: 06 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70038">Integrating Remittance Economies Into the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF): Pathways to Resilience and Inclusive Growth</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Ullah/A.K.M.+Ahsan">A.K.M. Ahsan Ullah</a></p><ul><li><p>e70038</p></li><li><p>First Published: 12 October 2025</p></li></ul><p></p><h2><strong><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/waf2.70033">China&#8217;s Dual Role and Its Implications for Latin America</a></strong></h2><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Rubiolo/Florencia">Florencia Rubiolo</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Xing/Li">Li Xing</a></p><ul><li><p>e270033</p></li><li><p>First Published: 23 October 2025</p></li></ul>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Welche Bedetung hat Russlands Burewestnik-Marschflugkörper?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Antworten auf Fragen einer deutschen Tageszeitung]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/welche-bedetung-hat-russlands-burewestnik</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/welche-bedetung-hat-russlands-burewestnik</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Oct 2025 14:32:10 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png" width="1456" height="647" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:647,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:524862,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/177178909?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XXG9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24a88fe9-7525-43da-9ee3-1812b249334b_1865x829.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><em>Putin hat erkl&#228;rt, dass Russland eine neue nuklearf&#228;hige Marschflugrakete erfolgreich getestet haben soll. Was wei&#223; man &#252;ber den Burewestnik und seine Einsatzm&#246;glichkeiten?</em></p><p>Der Sturmvogel &#8211; so die &#220;bersetzung von &#8222;Burewestnik&#8220; - ist ein &#228;lteres russisches Projekt eines atomgetriebenen und besonders weitreichenden Marschflugk&#246;rpers, den Putin bereits 2018 angek&#252;ndigt hatte und der bislang durch seine gescheiterten Testl&#228;ufe bekannt war. Urspr&#252;nglich hatte das Projekt weniger mit dem Russisch-Ukrainischen Krieg als Washingtons Aufk&#252;ndigung des amerikanisch-sowjetischen Vertrages &#252;ber die Begrenzung der Raketenabwehrsysteme von 1972 zu tun. Obwohl der Atomantrieb dieses Marschflugk&#246;rpers etwas Neuartiges ist, &#228;ndert die Waffe wenig am bisherigen Kr&#228;ftegleichgewicht zwischen den USA und Russland, welches von Interkontinentalraketen mit Mehrfachsprengk&#246;pfen bestimmt wird. Im Zuge des Russisch-Ukrainischen Krieges entwickeln sich weltweit die verschiedenen Luftabwehrsysteme rapide. Es ist daher unklar, ob dieser sehr weitfliegende Marschflugk&#246;rper heute noch jene Bedeutung hat, die er bei seiner ersten Ank&#252;ndigung 2018 zu haben schien.</p><p><em>Wie k&#246;nnte der Burewestnik Russlands Kriegsf&#252;hrung ver&#228;ndern?</em></p><p>F&#252;r Russlands Kriegsf&#252;hrung in der Ukraine d&#252;rfte Burewestnik nur geringe Bedeutung haben, unter anderem weil die Flugzeiten der Marschflugk&#246;rper zwischen den L&#228;ndern gering sind und daher der entscheidende Vorteil des Sturmvogels wenig Nutzen h&#228;tte. Auch w&#252;rde sich hier die Frage stellen, inwieweit ein Einsatz von Burewestnik &#8211; selbst mit einem konventionellen und nicht nuklearen Sprengkopf &#8211; eine weitere Verletzung des Budapester Memorandums w&#228;re. Vermutlich k&#246;nnte der Einschlag eines atomgetriebenen Flugk&#246;rpers zu einer radioaktiven Verseuchung des Einschlagsgebiets f&#252;hren. Damit w&#228;re Burewestnik nicht nur eine potentielle Nuklearwaffe, sondern auch mit einem nichtnuklearen Sprengkopf eine radiologische Waffe beziehungsweise so genannte &#8222;schmutzige Bombe&#8220;. Der vermutliche Effekt eines Einsatzes von Burewestnik in der Ukraine w&#228;ren ukrainische Versuche, die bereits vorhandenen Marschflugk&#246;rper der Ukraine &#8211; etwa Neptun oder Flamingo &#8211; mit radioaktivem Material zu beladen und nach Russland zu schie&#223;en. Dies w&#228;re eine enorme Eskalation des Krieges, welche weltweite Reaktionen ausl&#246;sen w&#252;rde. Daher ist zu vermuten, dass diese Waffe nicht in der Ukraine zum Einsatz kommt.</p><p><em>Trump hat gerade erst Sanktionen gegen Russland verk&#252;ndet. Ist beides voneinander unabh&#228;ngig oder will Putin gerade jetzt St&#228;rke demonstrieren/zeigen, dass die Sanktionen ins Leere laufen (wenn das nicht zu spekulativ ist)?</em></p></blockquote><p>Putins neuerliche Annonce des Burewestnik-Marschflugk&#246;rpers steht im Zusammenhang mit dem Russisch-Ukrainischen Krieg und soll die westlichen Partner der Ukraine verschrecken. Demnach ist Burewestnik eine Wunderwaffe, gegen die keine Kraut gewachsen sei. Es stellt sich allerdings zum einen die Frage, inwieweit der Marschflugk&#246;rper nun tats&#228;chlich einsatzbereit ist. Zum anderen ist unklar, ob dieses neue Tr&#228;gersystem, falls es funktionst&#252;chtig ist, das bisherige Kr&#228;fteverh&#228;ltnis substantiell &#228;ndern kann. Russland hat bereits verschiedene Tr&#228;ger f&#252;r Atomsprengk&#246;pfe, und f&#252;hrt nun einen weiteren ein. Die gewaltige Reichweite und lange Flugdauer von Burewestnik ist zweifellos ein Vorteil. Allerdings fragt sich, ob diese Kapazit&#228;t den Flugk&#246;rper tats&#228;chlich unabfangbar macht und einen signifikanten operativen Vorteil bedeutet. Daher scheint Putins neuerliche &#246;ffentliche Annonce dieser angeblichen Superwaffe eher Teil der russischen psychologischen Kriegsf&#252;hrung gegen den Westen als der Vorbote einer wirklichen Kr&#228;ftever&#228;nderung zu sein. W&#228;hler und Politiker in Europa und Nordamerika sollen eingesch&#252;chtert und von weiterer Hilfe f&#252;r die Ukraine abgehalten werden. Man kann nur hoffen, dass diese Funktion des Burewestnik-Projektes in den westlichen Hauptst&#228;dten erkannt wird.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Warum will Putin das gesamte Donezbecken?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Antworten auf Fragen einer deutschen Tageszeitung]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/warum-will-putin-das-gesamte-ukrainische</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/warum-will-putin-das-gesamte-ukrainische</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Oct 2025 12:48:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif" width="1280" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:204341,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/176557976?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZQI_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F637eb340-87eb-4b57-8dab-940dd17bc8b6_1280x720.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>Einem Bericht der &#8222;Washington Post&#8220; zufolge forderte Wladimir Putin in seinem Telefonat mit Donald Trump diese Woche als &#8222;Bedingung f&#252;r die Beendigung des Krieges&#8220; die vollst&#228;ndige Aufgabe der Region Donezk seitens der Ukraine.</em></p><ol><li><p><em>Putin versucht seit mehr als zehn Jahren das Gebiet vollst&#228;ndig zu erobern.</em></p><ol><li><p><em>Warum gelingt ihm das nicht?</em></p></li></ol></li></ol><p>Russlands Krieg auf dem ukrainischen Festland begann im April 2014 im Donezker Bassin (Donbas), das nach dem Fluss Siwerski Donez benannt ist. Die ukrainischen Stellungen sind dort besonders g&#252;nstig gelegen und gut befestigt. W&#228;hrend es Russland gelang, die Luhansker Oblast des Donbas inzwischen fast vollst&#228;ndig zu erobern, hat Moskau seit Beginn der Vollinvasion im Februar 2022 nur geringe Erfolge in der Donezker Oblast erzielt.</p><p><em>b. Warum versucht er das &#252;berhaupt?</em></p><p>Laut der 2022 ge&#228;nderten russischen Verfassung ist unter anderem die Donezker Oblast offiziell (wenn auch widerrechtlich) Teil der Russischen F&#246;deration. Als so genannter &#8222;Garant&#8220; von Russlands Verfassung ist Putin verpflichtet deren Erf&#252;llung sicherzustellen. Wichtiger noch als diese Formalie ist die symbolische sowie strategische Bedeutung dieser Region und das Unverm&#246;gen Russland nach mehr als 11 Jahren Krieg diese grenznahe Oblast im &#228;u&#223;ersten Osten der Ukraine zu erobern. Die manifeste Peinlichkeit dieser Situation f&#252;r Putin ist ein Hauptgrund f&#252;r seine Forderung nach einer ukrainischen &#220;bergabe. Die gute Befestigung, geographische Lage sowie geologisch-landschaftliche Eigenheit des von der ukrainischen Armee gehaltenen Teils des Donbas ist milit&#228;risch bedeutsam. Geriete das Territorium unter russische Kontrolle, w&#252;rde dies den Weg zu weiteren Vorst&#246;&#223;en ins Landesinnere der Ukraine &#246;ffnen.</p><ol start="2"><li><p><em>Putin wei&#223; genau, dass die Ukraine nicht zu Gebietsabtretungen bereit ist.</em></p><p><em>a. Ist dieses &#8222;Angebot&#8220; ein weiteres Beispiel seiner Hinhaltetaktik?</em></p></li></ol><p>Moskau hofft, dass es Washington bez&#252;glich der Donbasfrage zu seinem Agenten bei den anstehenden trilateralen Verhandlungen machen kann. Erh&#246;ht sich Trumps Druck auf Selenskij, einer Gebietsabtretung im Donbas zuzustimmen, kann Putin nur gewinnen. Wenn Selenskij ablehnt, erscheint er gegen&#252;ber Trump als friedensunwillig und damit als Problem f&#252;r die Friedensbem&#252;hungen des amerikanischen Pr&#228;sidenten sowie dessen Ambitionen auf den Friedensnobelpreis. Stimmt Selenskij zu, erlangt Russland einen strategischen Vorteil f&#252;r den n&#228;chsten Angriff in die Zentralukraine. Im f&#252;r Moskau g&#252;nstigsten Fall k&#246;nnten territoriale Zugest&#228;ndnisse Selenskijs an Russland einen B&#252;rgerkrieg in der Ukraine ausl&#246;sen. Eine solche innenpolitische Eskalation war und ist eines des Hauptziele Moskaus seit Beginn der russischen milit&#228;rischen Invasion der Ukraine auf der Krim im Februar 2014.</p><p><em>b. Zugleich forderte er bei dem Gipfel im August in Alaska noch mehr Gebiete. Warum jetzt nicht mehr?</em></p><p>Putin hat offenbar erkannt, dass er seine Maximalforderungen nicht durchsetzen kann. Milit&#228;rstrategisch ist das Donezbecken am wichtigsten. K&#246;nnte er dort aufgrund eines ukrainischen R&#252;ckzugs vorr&#252;cken, erg&#228;be sich die Chance, weitere Teile der Ukraine zu erobern. Auch w&#252;rde eine freiwillige Gebietsabtretung der hart umk&#228;mpften und mit vielen Opfern gehaltenen regierungskontrollierten Teile des Donezbeckens innerhalb der Ukraine und insbesondere in den ukrainischen Streitkr&#228;ften sowie Veteranenverb&#228;nden gro&#223;en Unmut ausl&#246;sen.</p><ol start="3"><li><p><em>Die Ukraine hat sich tief in der Donezker Region verschanzt und eine Art &#8222;Festungsg&#252;rtel&#8220; in diesem Gebiet errichtet.</em></p><p><em>a. Wie gro&#223; ist die Gefahr, dass bei einem ukrainischen Gebietsverlust, jeder k&#252;nftige milit&#228;rische Vormarsch Russlands &#252;ber Donezk tiefer in die Ukraine nicht mehr aufzuhalten ist?</em></p></li></ol><p>Die Gefahr eines tieferen Vorsto&#223;es w&#252;rde sich bei Aufgabe der stark befestigten regierungskontrollierten Teile des Donezbeckens sprunghaft erh&#246;hen. Wie beim Kriegsverlauf im Fr&#252;hjahr 2022 deutlich wurde, ist der letztliche Hauptpreis f&#252;r Russland die Stadt Kyjiw &#8211; und nicht die Ost- oder S&#252;dukraine.</p><p><em>b. Wie sieht dieser Verteidigungsg&#252;rtel in der Donezker Region konkret aus?</em></p><p>Die geographischen Bedingungen der regierungskontrollierten Teile des Donbeckens sind f&#252;r deren Verteidigung g&#252;nstig. Die Ukraine hat die vergangenen 11 Jahre genutzt, um dort ein System von Gr&#228;ben, Bunkern, Befestigungen, St&#252;tzpunkten und Versorgungslinien zu schaffen, welches gut verteidigt werden kann. Russland hat mehrfach versucht, diesen &#8222;Festungsg&#252;rtel&#8220; unter Einsatz gro&#223;er milit&#228;rischer Mittel und Einheiten zu erobern. Man kann vermuten, dass der Donbas inzwischen sowohl in der ukrainischen als auch russischen Armee die Reputation einer Todeszone f&#252;r Russlands Soldaten hat. Daher versucht Putin dieses operative, strategische und politische Problem Mokaus nun nicht milit&#228;risch, sondern auf dem Verhandlungsweg zu l&#246;sen.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Will Smaller Powers Obtain WMDs?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Commentary in: World Affairs, vol. 188, no. 4]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/will-smaller-powers-obtain-wmds</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/will-smaller-powers-obtain-wmds</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:05:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg" width="404" height="522" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:522,&quot;width&quot;:404,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:57746,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/176033018?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lTdV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F557b2da7-56d2-417d-9c2f-91b0e5c12640_404x522.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The longer Russia&#8217;s expansionist war and genocidal &#8220;special operation&#8221; in Ukraine continue, the more the structure of current international relations changes. The leaders of the United States and China have so far only talked about or prepared for territorial expansion: they engage in tough rhetoric, nonkinetic actions, hybrid operations, and saber rattling. Russia, on the other hand, has been using massive military force for more than a decade to expand its territory and population. Moscow is undermining national sovereignty and territorial integrity as the foundations of post-World War II international relations, not only rhetorically, as Beijing and Washington have done so far, but also materially, politically, and pseudo-legally.</p><p></p><p><strong>World Affairs Journal / Wiley / Policy Studies Organization</strong></p><p></p><p><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/waf2.70034">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/waf2.70034</a></p><p></p><p>Utrikespolitiska institutet</p><p>&#1050;&#1072;&#1092;&#1077;&#1076;&#1088;&#1072; &#1087;&#1086;&#1083;&#1110;&#1090;&#1086;&#1083;&#1086;&#1075;&#1110;&#1111; &#1053;&#1072;&#1059;&#1050;&#1052;&#1040;</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Wird Russland die NATO angreifen?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Kurzinterview f&#252;r eine deutsche Tageszeitung]]></description><link>https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/wird-russland-die-nato-angreifen</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://andreasumland.substack.com/p/wird-russland-die-nato-angreifen</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Andreas Umland]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2025 20:52:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a26a5ee0-efd3-4101-b15b-655c7a8e496b_640x400.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg" width="300" height="168" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:168,&quot;width&quot;:300,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2386,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://andreasumland.substack.com/i/175658005?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sO5t!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fba809fc0-2d54-4bb7-9b37-99b070ce7194_300x168.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><br><em>Frage: Das Washingtoner Institut f&#252;r Kriegsforschung ISW sieht Russland in einer &#8222;Phase 0&#8220; eines m&#246;glichen Kriegs mit der Nato. Aktuell schafft Russland demnach die materiellen und psychologischen Voraussetzungen f&#252;r einen Krieg. Sind Sie ebenfalls der Ansicht, dass Russlands j&#252;ngste Aktionen als Vorbereitungsphase f&#252;r einen Nato-Krieg ausgelegt werden kann?</em><br><br>Unter rationalen au&#223;enpolitischen Gesichtspunkten w&#252;rde man das ausschlie&#223;en, da die Kr&#228;fte zu ungleich sind. Jedoch k&#246;nnen irrationale Impulse und innenpolitische Kalkulationen die russische F&#252;hrung zu weiterer Konfrontation treiben, wie viele Indizien der letzten Zeit andeuten. Der Krieg und die Expansionserfolge sind seit 2014 immer mehr zu Kernelementen wenn nicht Stabilit&#228;tsankern von Putins Herrschaft geworden. Insbesondere wird es im Falle eines Sieges &#252;ber die Ukraine bzw. einer Waffenruhe mit dauerhaften Gel&#228;ndegewinnen f&#252;r Russland die Versuchung geben, die bereits milit&#228;risch hochmobilisierte russische Gesellschaft auf ein neues Ziel zu lenken.<br><br><em>Frage: Sind beispielsweise die Drohnenfl&#252;ge ein Indiz daf&#252;r?</em><br><br>Diese neuen Provokationen haben viel mit den politischen Ver&#228;nderungen in den USA 2025 zu tun. Da die Unterst&#252;tzung Amerikas f&#252;r Europa nicht mehr hundertprozentig und die Russlandpolitik Washingtons konfus ist, w&#228;chst die europ&#228;ische Eskalationsangst und russische Eskalationslust. Grenzverletzungen im Luftraum sind f&#252;r Moskau nunmehr ein probates Mittel, Unsicherheit und Uneinigkeit auch in NATO-Staaten zu sch&#252;ren. Auch will der Kreml damit offenbar westliche Aufmerksamkeit und Ressourcen von der Ukraine ablenken.<br><br><em>Frage: Was folgt Ihrer Ansicht nach auf die &#8222;Phase 0&#8220;? Schon ein Angriff?</em><br><br>Zumindest wird von Russland der Eindruck erweckt, dass es einen Angriff geben kann. Vermutlich will sich Moskau die Option offenhalten, gegen NATO-L&#228;nder mit hybriden milit&#228;rischen und gegebenenfalls auch mit herk&#246;mmlichen kinetischen Mitteln vorzugehen. Solange der Ukrainekrieg anh&#228;lt und nicht in dieser oder jener Form zumindest teilweise von Russland gewonnen wird, scheint allerdings ein Angriff auf einen NATO-Staat unwahrscheinlich. Denn das w&#252;rde f&#252;r Russland einen Zweifrontenkrieg bedeuten. Sollte es hingegen einen russischen Siegfrieden in der Ukraine geben, steigt das Eskalationsrisiko etwa im Baltikum. Erfolgstrunken und milit&#228;risch hochmobilisiert k&#246;nnte der Kreml der Versuchung erlegen, die Entschiedenheit der NATO an der estnischen oder/und litauischen Grenze zu testen. Lediglich eine sichtbare russische Niederlage in der Ukraine im Zusammenspiel mit einer inneren sozio&#246;konomischen Krise wird den Expansionsdrang Moskaus nachhaltig d&#228;mpfen.<br></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>